Fact Check: In 2024, Biden barely won Latino votes, 51% to Trump's 46%.

Fact Check: "In 2024, Biden barely won Latino votes, 51% to Trump's 46%."

What We Know

The claim that "Biden barely won Latino votes, 51% to Trump's 46%" reflects a significant shift in voting patterns among Hispanic voters in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. According to a Pew Research Center survey, Trump garnered approximately 48% of the Hispanic vote, which is an increase from 36% in 2020 and 28% in 2016. This data indicates that while Biden did receive a majority of the Latino votes, the margin was much narrower than in previous elections.

Additionally, exit polls corroborate these findings, showing Trump winning about 46% of Hispanic voters, marking the highest support for a Republican candidate among this demographic since at least 1980 (Axios). This suggests that while Biden did win the Latino vote, the competition was indeed closer than in past elections.

Analysis

The claim that Biden won 51% of the Latino vote compared to Trump's 46% is partially true. The Pew Research Center's analysis indicates that Biden's support among Hispanic voters was around 52%, which aligns closely with the claim. However, the assertion that Trump received 46% of the Latino vote is slightly misleading, as he actually received about 48% according to Pew's findings. This discrepancy highlights the importance of precise data interpretation and reporting.

Furthermore, the Pew survey involved a robust sample of nearly 9,000 adult U.S. citizens, which enhances its reliability (Pew Research Center). The survey's methodology, which matched respondents to official voter registration records, provides a strong foundation for the findings. However, it is important to note that the interpretation of these results can vary, and different sources may report slightly different figures based on their methodologies.

The Washington Post also emphasizes that Trump's gains among Hispanic voters were significant, reflecting a broader trend of increasing support for Republican candidates among non-White voters. This shift raises questions about the Democratic Party's strategies and the factors influencing voter behavior among minority groups.

Conclusion

The verdict on the claim that "Biden barely won Latino votes, 51% to Trump's 46%" is Partially True. While Biden did secure a majority of the Latino vote, the actual figures indicate that Trump received about 48%, not 46%. This illustrates a notable increase in support for Trump among Hispanic voters compared to previous elections, indicating a more competitive landscape for Latino votes than in the past.

Fact Check: In 2024, Biden barely won Latino votes, 51% to Trump's 46%.