Fact Check: "In 2020, Biden won Latino votes 65-32; in 2024, it dropped to 51-46."
What We Know
The claim regarding Joe Biden's performance among Latino voters in the 2020 and 2024 elections reflects a notable shift in voting patterns. In the 2020 election, Biden received approximately 65% of the Latino vote compared to 32% for Donald Trump, according to data from AP VoteCast, which provides a comprehensive overview of voter demographics and preferences (source-2). However, recent polling indicates that Biden's support among Latino voters has decreased to 51% in the lead-up to the 2024 election, with Trump gaining ground at 46% (source-1).
Analysis
The statistics presented in the claim are supported by various sources, which indicate a significant decline in Biden's support among Latino voters from 2020 to 2024. The 65-32 figure from 2020 is corroborated by multiple analyses of the election data, including AP VoteCast (source-2). The 51-46 split for 2024 reflects a trend noted in recent polling, which shows a marked increase in Republican support among Latino voters, particularly in battleground states (source-1).
However, it is essential to consider the context behind these numbers. The Democratic Party has historically relied on Latino voters, yet recent elections have shown a growing trend of Latino support for Republican candidates. Factors contributing to this shift include dissatisfaction with Biden's policies, cultural missteps, and the effective messaging from Republican campaigns (source-2). This suggests that while the numbers are accurate, they represent a broader narrative of changing political dynamics rather than a simple decline in support.
Conclusion
The claim that "In 2020, Biden won Latino votes 65-32; in 2024, it dropped to 51-46" is Partially True. The figures for both elections are accurate, reflecting a significant shift in Latino voter support. However, the analysis of this shift reveals a complex landscape influenced by various factors, including cultural engagement and party outreach strategies. The decrease in support for Biden among Latino voters is indicative of changing political sentiments rather than a straightforward loss of support.
