Fact Check: Trump gained 15% of Black voters in 2024, up from 8% in 2020.

Published June 29, 2025

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VERDICT

Needs Research

# Fact Check: "Trump gained 15% of Black voters in 2024, up from 8% in 2020." ## What We Know The claim that Donald Trump gained 15% of Black voters ...

Fact Check: "Trump gained 15% of Black voters in 2024, up from 8% in 2020."

What We Know

The claim that Donald Trump gained 15% of Black voters in the 2024 election, an increase from 8% in 2020, lacks substantial evidence at this time. As of October 2023, there have been no comprehensive studies or credible polls released that confirm this specific percentage increase among Black voters. The claim appears to be speculative and not grounded in verifiable data.

While some reports indicate that Trump's support among Black voters may have increased, the exact figures and the context behind these numbers remain unclear. For instance, various media outlets have discussed Trump's outreach to minority communities, but these discussions do not provide concrete statistics to support the claim of a 15% approval rating among Black voters (source-1, source-2).

Analysis

The assertion that Trump has gained 15% of Black voters is significant and would imply a notable shift in voting patterns. However, the sources available do not provide reliable data to substantiate this claim. The articles referenced primarily focus on Trump's political strategies and his interactions with various communities but do not include specific polling data or analyses that would confirm the percentage increase in Black voter support (source-1, source-2).

Moreover, the credibility of the sources is limited as they do not originate from established polling organizations or reputable news outlets that specialize in electoral analysis. The lack of empirical data from recognized surveys makes it difficult to assess the validity of the claim. Without rigorous polling data or academic studies to back it up, the assertion remains unverified and speculative.

Conclusion

Needs Research. The claim that Trump gained 15% of Black voters in 2024, up from 8% in 2020, is not currently supported by reliable evidence or credible polling data. Given the absence of verifiable statistics and the speculative nature of the sources, further research is necessary to determine the actual voting patterns among Black voters in the upcoming election.

Sources

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