Fact Check: The Trump bill will lead to 11.8 million more uninsured Americans by 2034.

Fact Check: "The Trump bill will lead to 11.8 million more uninsured Americans by 2034."

What We Know

The claim that "the Trump bill will lead to 11.8 million more uninsured Americans by 2034" is based on estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). According to a report, the Senate version of the bill is projected to result in 11.8 million additional uninsured individuals by 2034, primarily due to significant cuts to Medicaid and other health care programs (Washington Post, New York Times). The CBO's analysis indicates that over $1.1 trillion would be cut from federal spending on Medicaid, Medicare, and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces, with Medicaid accounting for the majority of these reductions (AP News, KFF).

Analysis

The CBO's estimate of 11.8 million more uninsured Americans is corroborated by multiple reputable sources, including the Hill and the Los Angeles Times. The reliability of the CBO as a nonpartisan entity lends credibility to these figures, as it is widely regarded for its objective analysis of fiscal policies.

Critics of the bill, including health policy experts and some Republican senators, have expressed concerns about the implications of these cuts, particularly for vulnerable populations who rely on Medicaid. For instance, the proposed legislation would impose stricter work requirements for Medicaid eligibility, which could lead to millions losing coverage, even if they qualify under existing rules (New York Times, KFF). This aspect of the bill has been criticized for potentially disenfranchising low-income individuals who may struggle to meet the new requirements.

While some proponents of the bill argue that it targets waste and fraud in Medicaid, the scale of the proposed cuts has raised alarms about the potential for increased uninsured rates and the strain on healthcare providers, particularly in rural areas (Washington Post, ABC News).

Conclusion

The claim that "the Trump bill will lead to 11.8 million more uninsured Americans by 2034" is True. This conclusion is supported by the CBO's estimates and corroborated by multiple credible news sources. The significant cuts to Medicaid and other health programs outlined in the bill are expected to have a direct impact on the number of uninsured individuals in the United States.

Sources

1. At least 17 million Americans would lose health insurance ...
2. G.O.P. Bill Has $1.1 Trillion in Health Cuts and 11.8 Million ...
3. How millions will lose health insurance if Trump's tax bill ...
4. About 17 Million More People Could be Uninsured due to ...
5. GOP tax bill would mean 11.8 million people uninsured ...
6. Congress has passed Trump’s big bill. Here’s what’s in it
7. What's in the tax and spending bill that Trump has signed ...
8. Trump branded, browbeat and prevailed. But his big bill may ...