Fact Check: "House bill would lead to 10.9 million more uninsured people!"
What We Know
The claim that a House bill would lead to 10.9 million more uninsured people is supported by estimates from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO). According to the CBO, the proposed legislation, often referred to as the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," would result in approximately 10.9 million Americans losing their health insurance by 2034 due to significant cuts in federal spending on Medicaid and other health programs (AP News, KFF).
The bill is expected to enact substantial tax cuts while simultaneously slashing spending on health care, which would disproportionately affect low-income individuals and families. A report indicated that the uninsured rate in states that have not expanded Medicaid is significantly higher than in those that have, further emphasizing the potential impact of the proposed cuts (KFF Health News).
Analysis
The CBO's analysis is a credible source, as it has a long-standing reputation for providing nonpartisan assessments of the budgetary and economic effects of legislation. The estimate of 10.9 million additional uninsured individuals is based on detailed modeling of the proposed changes to Medicaid and other health programs, making it a reliable figure (AP News).
However, it's important to note that the political context surrounding this bill may introduce some bias in how the information is presented. For instance, opponents of the bill, including many Democrats, have been vocal about the potential negative consequences, labeling the bill as harmful to American families (KFF Health News). This opposition could lead to exaggerated claims about the bill's effects, but the CBO's findings provide a solid foundation for understanding the potential impact.
Moreover, the analysis from the CBO is corroborated by additional reports indicating that if certain provisions of the bill are enacted, the number of uninsured could rise even higher, potentially reaching 16 million (KFF Health News). This further supports the assertion that the House bill could significantly increase the uninsured population.
Conclusion
The claim that the House bill would lead to 10.9 million more uninsured people is True. The estimate is backed by the CBO's analysis, which indicates that the proposed cuts to Medicaid and other health programs will likely result in millions losing their health insurance coverage. Given the credibility of the CBO and the consistency of the findings across multiple sources, this claim stands as a valid concern regarding the potential implications of the legislation.
Sources
- U.S. uninsured rates could resurge if Trump's budget bill ...
- CBO: Trump bill will add $2.4T to deficit, leave 10.9M more ...
- How Will the 2025 Reconciliation Bill Affect the Uninsured ...
- 11.8 million more uninsured from Senate bill: CBO
- CBO: Nearly 11 million people will be uninsured if GOP megabill becomes law