Fact Check: crime statistics show a decrease in crime in mexico during claudia sheinbaum's administration

Fact Check: "Crime statistics show a decrease in crime in Mexico during Claudia Sheinbaum's administration"

What We Know

Claudia Sheinbaum took office as the President of Mexico on October 1, 2024, succeeding Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Since her administration began, there have been reports indicating a decline in crime rates, particularly homicides. According to the National Public Security System (SNSP), the average number of homicides per day in April 2025 was 65.3, which represents a 24.9% decrease compared to September 2024, the last month of López Obrador's presidency (Mexico News Daily). Furthermore, the homicide rate has reportedly decreased by 27% when comparing the first four months of 2025 to the same period in 2018, during Enrique Peña Nieto's presidency (Mexico News Daily).

In a broader context, the overall murder rate in Mexico has been declining since it peaked in 2018, with the rate dropping from 30 per 100,000 people to 19 per 100,000 in 2024 (The Economist). This trend has continued under Sheinbaum's administration, with significant efforts made to combat organized crime through various security strategies (Mexico Solidarity Media).

Analysis

The claim that crime statistics show a decrease in crime during Claudia Sheinbaum's administration is supported by multiple credible sources. The SNSP's data indicating a 24.9% decline in homicides compared to the previous administration is a significant statistic that reflects the effectiveness of Sheinbaum's new security strategies (Mexico News Daily). Additionally, the broader trend of decreasing homicide rates since 2018 lends further credence to the assertion that crime is on the decline.

However, it is essential to consider the context and potential biases of the sources. For instance, while the SNSP is a government body, its data may be influenced by political motivations to present a favorable image of the current administration. Critics have raised concerns about the long-term effectiveness of Sheinbaum's strategies and the ongoing challenges posed by organized crime (Seasons of Crime). Nevertheless, the statistics presented are corroborated by independent analyses, such as those from human rights organizations, which also report a slight decrease in the national homicide rate (Human Rights Watch).

Conclusion

The evidence supports the claim that crime statistics indicate a decrease in crime in Mexico during Claudia Sheinbaum's administration. The reported reductions in homicide rates and the implementation of new security measures suggest that her government is making progress in combating crime. Therefore, the verdict is True.

Fact Check: crime statistics show a decrease in crime in mexico during claudia sheinbaum's administration