Fact Check: Young white working-class Gen Z women were more likely to vote for the Democratic ticket (43%) than their just-older millennial peers (34%) in the 2024 presidential election.

Fact Check: Young White Working-Class Gen Z Women Voted More for Democrats than Millennials in 2024

What We Know

The claim states that "young white working-class Gen Z women were more likely to vote for the Democratic ticket (43%) than their just-older millennial peers (34%) in the 2024 presidential election." However, data from multiple sources indicates that this assertion is inaccurate.

According to the CIRCLE at Tufts, young voters overall favored Kamala Harris over Donald Trump by a margin of 52% to 46% in the 2024 presidential election. Notably, there was a significant gender gap, with young women supporting Harris by a 17-point margin (58% to 41%) compared to young men, who preferred Trump by a 14-point margin (56% to 42%). This indicates that young women, including those in the Gen Z demographic, did show strong support for the Democratic ticket, but the specific percentages cited in the claim do not align with the data.

Furthermore, the Center for American Women and Politics reported that women in general were more likely to support the Democratic candidates, but did not provide specific percentages for young white working-class women or a direct comparison with millennials. The overall trend shows that while young women leaned Democratic, the claim's specific figures are not substantiated by the available data.

Analysis

The claim's assertion about voting percentages for young white working-class Gen Z women versus their millennial counterparts lacks credible support. The data from CIRCLE indicates a broader trend of young voters favoring the Democratic ticket, but it does not break down the voting behavior specifically for young white working-class women in the manner described in the claim.

Moreover, the Harvard Youth Poll and other analyses suggest that while young voters, particularly women, leaned Democratic, the specific statistics for Gen Z and millennials are not clearly delineated in the sources. The Tufts University analysis highlights a shift in voting patterns among young voters, particularly young men, who moved towards Trump compared to previous elections, but again, it does not provide the specific percentages claimed.

The sources used to evaluate this claim are reputable and provide comprehensive analyses of voting behavior, but they do not support the specific figures mentioned in the claim. The lack of precise data on young white working-class women’s voting behavior compared to millennials further undermines the credibility of the claim.

Conclusion

Verdict: False

The claim that young white working-class Gen Z women voted for the Democratic ticket at a rate of 43%, compared to their millennial peers at 34%, is not supported by the available data. The overall trends indicate strong support for the Democratic ticket among young women, but the specific percentages cited in the claim do not reflect the findings from credible sources.

Sources

1. The Youth Vote in 2024 - Circle at Tufts
2. Gender Differences in 2024 Vote Choice Are Similar to Most ...
3. Harvard Youth Poll
4. Young Voters Shifted Toward Trump but Still Favored Harris ...
5. What's driving Gen Z's voting behavior?
6. Here's how Gen Z voted — or didn't
7. CIRCLE releases preliminary findings about youth voting ...
8. 2024 Post-Election Survey: Gender and Age Analysis of ...