Fact Check: Voters aged 25-34 make up nearly 25% of early voting turnout.

Fact Check: "Voters aged 25-34 make up nearly 25% of early voting turnout."

What We Know

The claim that voters aged 25-34 constitute nearly 25% of early voting turnout lacks direct support from the available data. According to a recent survey conducted by CIRCLE, 57% of youth aged 18-34 indicated they were "extremely likely" to vote in the upcoming 2024 election. However, this survey does not specify the exact percentage of early voting turnout attributed to the 25-34 age group.

Additionally, the Census Bureau reported that in the 2022 midterm elections, the overall voter turnout was 52.2%, with early voting and mail-in voting methods being utilized by a significant portion of the electorate. However, specific demographic breakdowns for early voting turnout by age group, particularly for those aged 25-34, are not provided in the available data.

Analysis

The claim hinges on the assertion that a specific age group (25-34) makes up a quarter of early voting turnout. While the CIRCLE survey indicates a high likelihood of voting among young people, it does not provide concrete figures regarding the actual turnout rates or the specific contributions of the 25-34 age demographic to early voting.

The Census Bureau's report does highlight that early voting was prevalent, but it lacks detailed demographic data that would confirm or refute the claim regarding the 25-34 age group. The absence of precise statistics on early voting turnout by age makes it difficult to verify the claim definitively.

Moreover, while both sources are reputable, the CIRCLE report focuses on intentions to vote rather than actual turnout, and the Census Bureau provides broader statistics without age-specific breakdowns. This suggests that while there is an interest in youth voting, the specific claim about the 25-34 age group needs more precise data to be validated.

Conclusion

Needs Research: The claim that voters aged 25-34 make up nearly 25% of early voting turnout is not substantiated by the available evidence. While there are indications of high engagement among young voters, the lack of specific turnout data for the 25-34 age group means that further research is necessary to confirm or refute this assertion.