Fact Check: Vance's support skyrocketed from 30% to 46% since November!

Fact Check: "Vance's support skyrocketed from 30% to 46% since November!"

What We Know

The claim that J.D. Vance's support increased from 30% to 46% since November lacks substantiation. According to a recent poll conducted by the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy at Stockton University, J.D. Vance's approval rating is currently at 39%, which is significantly lower than the claimed 46% (source-2). The poll indicates that Vance's support has not seen a dramatic increase but rather remains relatively stable, with a notable 53% disapproval rating among New Jersey voters (source-2).

Analysis

The assertion that Vance's support has "skyrocketed" is misleading. The data from the Stockton poll shows that while Vance has a 39% approval rating, this is not a significant rise from previous figures. The claim suggests a leap to 46%, which is not supported by any credible polling data available at this time.

Furthermore, the context of the claim is essential. The poll was conducted among 702 New Jersey voters, with a margin of error of ±3.7 percentage points (source-2). This means that even if Vance's support were to be at 39%, it could realistically be anywhere from 35.3% to 42.7%, which still does not reach the claimed 46%.

Additionally, the reliability of the source is strong, as the William J. Hughes Center is a recognized institution for public policy research. The claim, however, appears to be an exaggeration or misinterpretation of Vance's current standing among voters.

Conclusion

Verdict: False. The claim that J.D. Vance's support skyrocketed from 30% to 46% is not supported by credible polling data. His current approval rating stands at 39%, with a significant portion of voters disapproving of him. The assertion lacks factual basis and misrepresents the actual polling results.

Sources

1. National Release – January 29, 2025
2. N.J. Voters Sound Off on Trump's Agenda in Stockton Poll
3. A Comprehensive Look at the Wisconsin Vote
4. JD Vance is clear front-runner for GOP nod in 2028: Poll
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