Fact Check: "Trump is cutting Medicaid"
What We Know
President Donald Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB) into law on July 4, 2025, which includes significant cuts to Medicaid spending. Specifically, the bill enacts a 15% reduction in Medicaid funding, which translates to nearly $1 trillion in cuts over the next decade (UC Berkeley School of Public Health) [source-1]. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that these cuts could result in 11.8 million Americans losing their health insurance by 2034 (NPR) [source-2]. Medicaid is a crucial program that provides health insurance to low-income populations, and cuts to this program are expected to lead to worse health outcomes and increased mortality rates among those affected (UC Berkeley School of Public Health) [source-1].
Analysis
The claim that "Trump is cutting Medicaid" is substantiated by multiple credible sources. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act is a significant piece of legislation that has been analyzed by experts in health policy. Dr. William H. Dow, a respected scholar in health economics, emphasizes that the cuts represent the largest reduction in federal health benefits in U.S. history (UC Berkeley School of Public Health) [source-1]. Furthermore, the CBO's analysis is well-regarded for its non-partisan approach, lending additional credibility to the estimate that millions will lose coverage (NPR) [source-2].
Critics of the bill argue that the cuts will disproportionately affect vulnerable populations, including low-income adults and rural communities, which rely heavily on Medicaid (CNBC) [source-4]. The bill also introduces new work requirements for Medicaid recipients, which could further complicate access to healthcare for many individuals (NPR) [source-2].
While some sources, such as FactCheck.org, note that Trump has previously claimed he would not support cuts to Medicare or Medicaid (FactCheck.org) [source-5], the current legislation contradicts those assertions. This inconsistency raises questions about the administration's commitment to protecting these programs.
Conclusion
The claim that "Trump is cutting Medicaid" is True. The enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act includes substantial cuts to Medicaid, which are projected to result in millions losing their health insurance. The evidence from multiple credible sources, including expert analyses and government estimates, supports this conclusion.
Sources
- What do the looming cuts to Medicaid really mean? | UC ...
- How Trump's tax bill will affect Medicaid, ACA plans and ...
- Senator Hawley Aims to Roll Back Medicaid Cuts He Voted for ...
- How Trump bill Medicaid cuts will impact U.S. health care
- The War of Words Over Medicaid Cuts - FactCheck.org
- Trump tax bill cuts taxes, Medicaid: How this might affect you
- Medicaid Cuts Could Take Effect In 2026, Experts Say - Forbes