Fact Check: Trump's tariffs are hurting his working-class voters significantly.

Published June 30, 2025

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VERDICT

True

# Fact Check: "Trump's tariffs are hurting his working-class voters significantly." ## What We Know President Trump's tariffs, particularly those imp...

Fact Check: "Trump's tariffs are hurting his working-class voters significantly."

What We Know

President Trump's tariffs, particularly those imposed on imports from various countries, have been projected to have significant economic impacts. According to the Penn Wharton Budget Model, the tariffs are expected to reduce long-run GDP by approximately 6% and wages by about 5%. This translates to a lifetime loss of around $22,000 for a middle-income household. The tariffs are also projected to raise significant revenue—over $5.2 trillion over the next decade—yet they are expected to reduce total imports by $6.9 trillion during the same period.

Moreover, a Reuters article highlights that the tariffs may lead to increased prices for new cars, pushing consumers toward the used car market, which could further strain working-class families. Another analysis from The New York Times indicates that nearly 8 million Americans work in industries directly affected by these tariffs, with a majority being Trump voters. This suggests that the economic burden of the tariffs is disproportionately falling on the very demographic that supported Trump.

Analysis

The evidence presented indicates that Trump's tariffs are indeed having a detrimental effect on working-class voters. The projected reductions in GDP and wages, as noted by the Penn Wharton Budget Model, suggest that the economic burden of these tariffs is significant. While the tariffs are designed to raise revenue and protect certain industries, the overall economic impact appears to be negative, particularly for lower and middle-income households.

The Reuters report further emphasizes that many working-class families are already feeling the effects of these tariffs, with increased costs of living and potential job losses in affected sectors. The analysis points to a broader economic uncertainty that could lead to reduced investment and consumption, further harming economic prospects for these voters.

However, it is important to consider the potential biases of the sources. The Penn Wharton Budget Model is a reputable institution known for its economic analyses, while Reuters and The New York Times are established news organizations. Both have a history of providing reliable information, although they may have editorial slants that could influence their reporting.

Conclusion

Verdict: True
The claim that "Trump's tariffs are hurting his working-class voters significantly" is supported by substantial evidence. The projected economic impacts, including reductions in GDP and wages, alongside the direct effects on consumer prices and employment in affected industries, indicate that the tariffs are indeed placing a significant burden on the working-class demographic that largely supported Trump.

Sources

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