Fact Check: Trump's policies will eliminate 1.2 million jobs by 2029.

Published July 4, 2025

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# Fact Check: "Trump's policies will eliminate 1.2 million jobs by 2029." ## What We Know The claim that "Trump's policies will eliminate 1.2 million...

Fact Check: "Trump's policies will eliminate 1.2 million jobs by 2029."

What We Know

The claim that "Trump's policies will eliminate 1.2 million jobs by 2029" is based on projections related to proposed cuts in funding for safety-net programs, including Medicaid and food assistance. According to a recent analysis by the George Washington University, these cuts could lead to the loss of approximately 1.22 million jobs across the United States by 2029. The analysis highlights that the job losses would result from significant reductions in healthcare funding and other social programs, which are expected to have a cascading effect on employment in various sectors.

Additionally, the New Democrat Coalition has echoed similar sentiments, stating that the proposed legislation would not only harm American families but also contribute to job losses due to funding reductions in essential services. This aligns with findings from multiple polls indicating that public sentiment is largely against the proposed budget bill, with many Americans fearing the economic repercussions.

Analysis

The credibility of the claim hinges on the reliability of the sources projecting job losses. The analysis from George Washington University is backed by data and provides a state-by-state breakdown of the potential economic impact, which lends it a degree of reliability. However, it is essential to consider that such projections are inherently uncertain and depend on various economic factors, including the overall health of the economy and the specific implementation of the proposed policies.

On the other hand, the New Democrat Coalition and other political entities, such as the Democratic National Committee (DNC), have a vested interest in portraying the legislation negatively, which may introduce bias into their assessments. While they cite the same projections, their framing may be influenced by political motivations rather than purely economic analysis.

Furthermore, the New York Times and BBC reports provide context about the broader implications of the proposed legislation, including tax cuts and increased national debt, which could also affect job creation and retention. However, these sources do not independently verify the 1.2 million jobs figure, instead referencing the projections made by other analyses.

Conclusion

The claim that "Trump's policies will eliminate 1.2 million jobs by 2029" is based on projections from credible analyses, particularly from George Washington University. However, the potential for bias in the sources citing these projections, as well as the inherent uncertainty in economic forecasting, leads to the conclusion that the claim remains Unverified. While there is a basis for concern regarding job losses, the exact impact of the proposed policies cannot be definitively established at this time.

Sources

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