Fact Check: Tillis Predicts $26 Billion Cut in Federal Support for North Carolina
What We Know
Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) recently expressed concerns regarding a proposed Senate reconciliation bill, stating it could lead to "tens of billions of dollars in lost funding for North Carolina, including our hospitals and rural communities" (Tillis Statement on Senate Reconciliation Vote). He specifically mentioned that the best-case scenario for Medicaid cuts could amount to a $26 billion reduction in federal support for the state (Politico). This prediction aligns with his broader criticism of the bill, which he argues would necessitate painful decisions, such as eliminating Medicaid coverage for hundreds of thousands of North Carolinians (Tillis Statement on Senate Reconciliation Vote).
Analysis
While Tillis's statement about a potential $26 billion cut is based on his analysis of the proposed legislation, it is important to note that this figure represents a projection rather than a confirmed outcome. The prediction is contingent upon the bill's passage and the specific provisions it includes regarding Medicaid funding. Tillis's concerns have been echoed by various stakeholders who fear that cuts to Medicaid could significantly impact health services in North Carolina (Axios).
However, the reliability of the $26 billion figure is subject to scrutiny. It is derived from Tillis's own analysis and discussions with officials, which may reflect his political motivations to oppose the bill rather than an objective assessment of the legislation's potential impact. Furthermore, the context of his statement—made during a politically charged moment in which he announced he would not seek reelection—raises questions about the motivations behind his claims (AP News, Washington Post).
Critics of Tillis's stance argue that the figures he presents might be exaggerated to rally opposition against the bill and to position himself favorably within the political landscape of North Carolina, especially given the contentious nature of his relationship with former President Trump (AP News).
Conclusion
The claim that Tillis predicts a $26 billion cut in federal support for North Carolina is Partially True. While he bases this prediction on his analysis of the Senate reconciliation bill, it remains a projection rather than a definitive outcome. The figure reflects his concerns about potential Medicaid cuts, which are valid but also politically motivated, especially in light of his recent announcement not to seek reelection. Thus, while there is a basis for concern regarding funding cuts, the exact impact remains uncertain and contingent on legislative developments.
