Fact Check: "The World Bank predicts Argentina's economic growth will continue at 4.5 percent in 2026."
What We Know
The claim that "the World Bank predicts Argentina's economic growth will continue at 4.5 percent in 2026" is supported by the World Bank's recent economic forecasts. According to a report published on June 10, 2025, the World Bank has indeed projected that Argentina's economic growth will be 4.5 percent in 2026, following a robust growth forecast of 5.5 percent for 2025 (World Bank Group, Buenos Aires Times). This growth is attributed to various factors, including reforms by the Argentine government and a rebound in sectors such as agriculture, energy, and mining (Buenos Aires Times).
Analysis
The evidence supporting the claim comes directly from the World Bank's economic forecasts, which are generally considered reliable due to the institution's extensive research and expertise in global economic trends. The World Bank's projections are based on a comprehensive analysis of economic indicators and trends, making their forecasts credible.
However, it is important to note that while the World Bank's forecasts are authoritative, they are also subject to change based on evolving economic conditions. The report indicates that Argentina is expected to lead Latin America in economic growth, which is a positive sign for the country's recovery after experiencing two years of recession (Buenos Aires Times). The projection of 4.5 percent growth in 2026 aligns with the broader trend of recovery in the region, although it is contingent upon various factors, including global trade conditions and domestic economic policies.
The reliability of the sources used in this analysis is high, as they originate from the World Bank and reputable news outlets that report on economic issues. However, potential biases should be considered, especially in media reporting which may emphasize certain aspects of the economic forecasts over others.
Conclusion
Verdict: True. The claim that "the World Bank predicts Argentina's economic growth will continue at 4.5 percent in 2026" is accurate based on the World Bank's official projections. The forecasts indicate a positive trajectory for Argentina's economy, supported by recent reforms and a recovery in key sectors.
Sources
- Global Economy Set for Weakest Run Since 2008 ... - World Bank Group
- World Bank lifts Argentina 2025 growth forecast to 5.5%
- World Bank lifts Argentina 2025 growth forecast to 5.5%
- PDF Global Economic Prospects, January 2025 - thedocs.worldbank.org
- PDF ARGENTINA - World Bank
- GDP growth (annual %) - Argentina | Data - World Bank Data
- Global Economic Prospects
- IMF maintains Argentina's growth forecast amid global trade war
