Fact Check: "The U.S.-Mexico border sees significant migration flows each month."
What We Know
The claim that the U.S.-Mexico border experiences significant migration flows each month has some basis in reality, but the specifics can vary greatly depending on the time frame and political context. According to the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), in May 2025, Border Patrol encountered 8,725 illegal aliens crossing the southwest border, which represented a 93% decrease from the previous year (CBP Releases May 2025 Monthly Update). In March 2025, the encounters were reported at 7,181, indicating a downward trend (CBP releases March 2025 monthly update).
Historically, during the Biden administration, the average daily encounters were significantly higher. For instance, in June 2022, the average was around 6,434 encounters per day, which translates to approximately 193,027 encounters for the entire month (Tom Homan says total border encounters last month were less...). This suggests that while there are indeed monthly migration flows, the scale has fluctuated dramatically over recent years.
Analysis
The evidence indicates that while there are significant migration flows at the U.S.-Mexico border, the term "significant" is subjective and context-dependent. The recent figures show a notable decline in encounters compared to previous years, particularly during the height of migration in 2022 and 2023. For example, the 93% drop in encounters from June 2024 to June 2025 highlights a stark reduction in migration attempts (CBP Releases May 2025 Monthly Update).
However, the claim's validity is also influenced by the political narrative surrounding border security. Tom Homan, a former official under the Trump administration, attributed the decrease in encounters to stricter immigration policies, labeling it the "Trump Effect" (Tom Homan says total border encounters last month were less...). This framing may introduce bias, as it suggests a direct causal relationship between policy and migration trends without accounting for other factors such as economic conditions, natural disasters, or changes in immigration laws.
Moreover, the reliability of the sources varies. The CBP reports are official government statistics, which generally provide credible data. In contrast, commentary from political figures like Homan may be influenced by their political affiliations and agendas, which could skew the interpretation of the data.
Conclusion
The claim that the U.S.-Mexico border sees significant migration flows each month is Partially True. While there are indeed monthly migration flows, the scale and significance of these flows have varied greatly over time. Recent statistics show a marked decrease in encounters compared to previous years, suggesting that while migration is a persistent issue, the current context reflects a reduction rather than an ongoing crisis.
