Fact Check: The US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade

Fact Check: The US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade

Published May 6, 2025
VERDICT
Mostly False

# The Claim: "The US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade" ## Introduction The assertion that "the US is losing billions of dollars a day on ...

The Claim: "The US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade"

Introduction

The assertion that "the US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade" suggests a significant and ongoing economic issue related to the country's trade balance. This claim appears to stem from recent reports highlighting the U.S. trade deficit, which measures the gap between the value of goods and services the U.S. imports versus what it exports. The claim implies that this deficit translates directly into daily financial losses, which warrants a closer examination of the underlying data and context.

What We Know

  1. Trade Deficit Overview: The U.S. goods and services trade deficit for 2023 was reported at $773.4 billion, a decrease from $951.2 billion in 2022. This indicates a reduction in the trade deficit, with exports increasing and imports decreasing over the year 12.

  2. Monthly Deficit Fluctuations: In March 2025, the trade deficit surged to a record $140.5 billion, reflecting a 14% increase from the previous month. This spike was attributed to a rush in imports ahead of anticipated tariffs 3456.

  3. Daily Loss Calculation: If one were to interpret the annual trade deficit of $773.4 billion as a daily loss, it would average approximately $2.12 billion per day. However, this figure is an average and does not account for monthly fluctuations in trade balances 1.

  4. Economic Context: The trade deficit can be influenced by various factors, including consumer demand, currency valuation, and international trade policies. The recent decrease in the annual deficit suggests some improvement in trade dynamics, contrasting with the notion of an ongoing daily loss 1278.

Analysis

The claim that the U.S. is "losing billions of dollars a day" simplifies a complex economic situation. While it is accurate that the U.S. has a trade deficit, the implications of this deficit require careful consideration:

  • Source Reliability: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is a credible source for trade data, providing official statistics on U.S. economic performance. Their reports indicate a significant reduction in the trade deficit from 2022 to 2023, which contradicts the notion of an unchanging or worsening daily loss 12.

  • Contextual Factors: The trade deficit is not inherently negative; it can reflect strong consumer demand for foreign goods and services. Additionally, a trade deficit can coexist with a strong economy, as seen in the U.S. 78.

  • Conflicting Reports: Some sources, such as Reuters and NBC News, highlight record monthly deficits, which can create a perception of worsening trade conditions. However, these reports often focus on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term trends 3456.

  • Methodological Considerations: The calculation of daily losses based on annual figures may mislead without considering the variability in monthly trade balances. For instance, March's record deficit was influenced by specific market behaviors in anticipation of tariffs, which may not reflect ongoing trends 34.

  • Potential Bias: Some sources, such as infographics and financial news outlets, may present data with a particular angle, emphasizing negative aspects of the trade deficit without providing a balanced view of its implications 78.

Conclusion

Verdict: Mostly False

The claim that "the US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade" is mostly false due to several key factors. While it is true that the U.S. has a trade deficit, averaging approximately $2.12 billion per day based on the annual figure of $773.4 billion, this interpretation oversimplifies the complexities of trade dynamics. The trade deficit has actually decreased from the previous year, indicating improvements in trade conditions. Furthermore, the notion of daily losses fails to account for monthly fluctuations and the broader economic context, where a trade deficit can coexist with a robust economy.

It is important to recognize the limitations of the available evidence. The calculation of daily losses based on annual averages does not reflect the variability in trade balances, and the focus on specific months can lead to misleading conclusions. Readers are encouraged to critically evaluate information and consider the nuances of economic data before drawing conclusions about the implications of trade deficits.

Sources

  1. Bureau of Economic Analysis. "2023 Trade Gap is $773.4 Billion." Link
  2. Bureau of Economic Analysis. "U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services December and Annual 2023." Link
  3. Reuters. "US trade deficit surges to record high in March." Link
  4. NBC News. "U.S. trade deficit jumps to record high on pre-tariff import rush." Link
  5. MarketWatch. "The trade deficit hit a record in March as companies rushed to import." Link
  6. Boston 25 News. "US trade deficit widens to a record on pre-tariffs import surge." Link
  7. Infographic Site. "U.S. Trade Deficit Analysis 2023: Positive Shifts Explained." Link
  8. Infographic Site. "U.S. Trade Deficit and Surpluses 2023: Key Insights." Link
  9. Financial Post. "US Trade Deficit Widens to a Record on Pre-Tariffs Import Surge." Link
  10. Yahoo Finance. "US trade deficit hit fresh record before new Trump tariffs." Link

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Fact Check: Autistic Non-Verbal Episodes in Marriage: Why Words Vanish Sometimes and What to Do About It Neurodiverse Couples Tuesday, august 12, 2025. Here’s the scene: You’re in the middle of a conversation with your spouse. Maybe the topic is small (“Did you pay the water bill?”) or monumental (“Are we happy?”). And then—without warning—your autistic partner’s voice disappears. No yelling, no slammed doors. Just… gone. You’re left holding the conversational steering wheel while they’ve quietly climbed into the trunk. If you’ve never lived with high-functioning autism, this can be tragically misconstrued as stonewalling or contempt. It isn’t. It’s just neurology pulling the emergency brake. Why This Happens: The Science Without the Lab Coat Smell For autistic adults, losing speech under stress is often a shutdown—a form of nervous system overload that knocks language production offline. Think of it like your phone freezing: all the apps are still there, but none of them open when you tap. Research calls this autistic burnout when it happens in a longer, chronic cycle—linked to masking (Hull et al., 2017; Raymaker et al., 2020). Masking is the art of “performing normal” so well that non-autistic people think you’re fine. The issue is that it eats through your energy reserves like a car idling in traffic with the A/C on full blast (Mantzalas et al., 2022). Eventually, one hard conversation can tip you from functional to frozen. And here’s where couples therapy meets neuroscience: physiological flooding—the body’s fight/flight/freeze switch—is a known relationship killer (Malik et al., 2019; Gottman Institute, 2024). In other words, for some autistic partners, flooding may tend to show up sooner, last longer, and is more likely to pull the plug on speech entirely. The Danger Loop in Marriage Autistic partner goes non-verbal — brain says “nope.” Non-autistic partner reads it as avoidance — brain says “attack.” Pressure increases — “Just say something.” Shutdown deepens — and now you’ve both lost. Do that a few hundred times and you’ll start conflating a physiological response into a moral failing. That’s the real marriage-killer. The Protocol: Three Phases, Zero Guesswork This is where we get practical. You can’t “love away” a temporary shutdown, but you can stop it from turning into World War III. Before: Build the Net Name the state. Agree on a phrase or signal ( I call this a couple code)—such as “words offline,” “shutdown,” a hand over the heart. The point is to make the invisible visible. The Shutdown Card. A literal card that says: I can’t speak right now. Please lower lights, reduce sound, give me X minutes. I promise I will circle back. The Pause Rule. Require a minimum of 20 minutes before resuming any tough talk. Autistic partner may need 90+. Agree ahead of time. Downgrade Kit. the usual gear; earplugs, soft light, weighted blanket, fidget, a quiet room. You know, human decency in object form. Reduce Daily Load. Avoid heavy talks right after work or big social events. Chronic overload makes a nervous shutdown more probable. During: Do Less, Better Autistic Partner: Give the signal. Exit stimulation. Switch channels if possible (text, notes app, yes/no cards). Send a short pre-written message: “Safe, can’t talk, back at 8:15.” Non-Autistic Partner: Acknowledge once—“Got it, I’m with you.” Hold the pause boundary. Lower stimuli. Go regulate your own nervous system—walk, journal, pet the dog. Don’t rehearse comebacks. Both: Avoid sarcasm, interrogation, ultimatums. Nothing lengthens a shutdown like moral outrage. After: Close the Loop Check in: “Are you ready to talk, or should we start in text?” Debrief: Identify triggers and what helped. Solve the actual problem. No conflict gets left to rot in the corner. Spot burnout early. If shutdowns start clustering, it’s time to reduce demands, not double them. How This Isn’t Stonewalling Stonewalling is a choice. Shutdown is a lockout. Stonewalling says, “I won’t talk to you.” Shutdown says, “I can’t talk to you yet, but I will.” The key difference? Repair intention. A shutdown protocol builds that right into the process. The Ten-Minute At-Home Drill Co-create your signal and card. Agree on a pause window. Pack the downgrade kit. Rehearse the exchange (“Got it, I’m with you.”). Check in weekly to tweak the system. Remember, you’re not aiming for zero shutdowns. You’re aiming for shorter, kinder, safer ones. Why This Works Because it matches lived autistic experience (Raymaker et al., 2020; Lewis et al., 2023). Because it honors nervous system limits instead of punishing them (Malik et al., 2019). Because it lets both partners keep their dignity and still solve the problem. In other words: you’re building a marriage that can survive the occasional moments when the words are gone for the time being. Be Well, Stay Kind, and Godspeed. REFERENCES: Hull, L., Mandy, W., Lai, M.-C., Baron-Cohen, S., Allison, C., Smith, P., & Petrides, K. V. (2017). “Putting on my best normal”: Social camouflaging in adults with autism spectrum conditions. Autism, 21(5), 611–622. https://doi.org/10.1177/1362361316671012 Raymaker, D. M., Teo, A. R., Steckler, N. A., Lentz, B., Scharer, M., Delos Santos, A., … & Nicolaidis, C. (2020). “Having all of your internal resources exhausted beyond measure and being left with no clean-up crew”: Defining autistic burnout. Autism in Adulthood, 2(2), 132–143. https://doi.org/10.1089/aut.2019.0079 Mantzalas, J., Richdale, A. L., Adikari, A., Lowe, J., & Dissanayake, C. (2022). What Is Autistic Burnout? A thematic analysis of posts on two online platforms. Autism in Adulthood, 4(1), 52–65. https://doi.org/10.1089/aut.2021.0079 Lewis, L. F., et al. (2023). The lived experience of meltdowns for autistic adults. Autism, 27(7), 1787–1799. https://doi.org/10.1177/13623613221145783 Malik, J., et al. (2019). Emotional flooding in response to negative affect in romantic relationships. Journal of Couple & Relationship Therapy, 18(4), 327–349. https://doi.org/10.1080/15332691.2019.1641188 Gottman Institute. (2024, March 4). Making sure emotional flooding doesn’t capsize your relationship. Retrieved from https://www.gottman.com/blog/making-sure-emotional-flooding-doesnt-capsize-your-relationship/

Detailed fact-check analysis of: Autistic Non-Verbal Episodes in Marriage: Why Words Vanish Sometimes and What to Do About It Neurodiverse Couples Tuesday, august 12, 2025. Here’s the scene: You’re in the middle of a conversation with your spouse. Maybe the topic is small (“Did you pay the water bill?”) or monumental (“Are we happy?”). And then—without warning—your autistic partner’s voice disappears. No yelling, no slammed doors. Just… gone. You’re left holding the conversational steering wheel while they’ve quietly climbed into the trunk. If you’ve never lived with high-functioning autism, this can be tragically misconstrued as stonewalling or contempt. It isn’t. It’s just neurology pulling the emergency brake. Why This Happens: The Science Without the Lab Coat Smell For autistic adults, losing speech under stress is often a shutdown—a form of nervous system overload that knocks language production offline. Think of it like your phone freezing: all the apps are still there, but none of them open when you tap. Research calls this autistic burnout when it happens in a longer, chronic cycle—linked to masking (Hull et al., 2017; Raymaker et al., 2020). Masking is the art of “performing normal” so well that non-autistic people think you’re fine. The issue is that it eats through your energy reserves like a car idling in traffic with the A/C on full blast (Mantzalas et al., 2022). Eventually, one hard conversation can tip you from functional to frozen. And here’s where couples therapy meets neuroscience: physiological flooding—the body’s fight/flight/freeze switch—is a known relationship killer (Malik et al., 2019; Gottman Institute, 2024). In other words, for some autistic partners, flooding may tend to show up sooner, last longer, and is more likely to pull the plug on speech entirely. The Danger Loop in Marriage Autistic partner goes non-verbal — brain says “nope.” Non-autistic partner reads it as avoidance — brain says “attack.” Pressure increases — “Just say something.” Shutdown deepens — and now you’ve both lost. Do that a few hundred times and you’ll start conflating a physiological response into a moral failing. That’s the real marriage-killer. The Protocol: Three Phases, Zero Guesswork This is where we get practical. You can’t “love away” a temporary shutdown, but you can stop it from turning into World War III. Before: Build the Net Name the state. Agree on a phrase or signal ( I call this a couple code)—such as “words offline,” “shutdown,” a hand over the heart. The point is to make the invisible visible. The Shutdown Card. A literal card that says: I can’t speak right now. Please lower lights, reduce sound, give me X minutes. I promise I will circle back. The Pause Rule. Require a minimum of 20 minutes before resuming any tough talk. Autistic partner may need 90+. Agree ahead of time. Downgrade Kit. the usual gear; earplugs, soft light, weighted blanket, fidget, a quiet room. You know, human decency in object form. Reduce Daily Load. Avoid heavy talks right after work or big social events. Chronic overload makes a nervous shutdown more probable. During: Do Less, Better Autistic Partner: Give the signal. Exit stimulation. Switch channels if possible (text, notes app, yes/no cards). Send a short pre-written message: “Safe, can’t talk, back at 8:15.” Non-Autistic Partner: Acknowledge once—“Got it, I’m with you.” Hold the pause boundary. Lower stimuli. Go regulate your own nervous system—walk, journal, pet the dog. Don’t rehearse comebacks. Both: Avoid sarcasm, interrogation, ultimatums. Nothing lengthens a shutdown like moral outrage. After: Close the Loop Check in: “Are you ready to talk, or should we start in text?” Debrief: Identify triggers and what helped. Solve the actual problem. No conflict gets left to rot in the corner. Spot burnout early. If shutdowns start clustering, it’s time to reduce demands, not double them. How This Isn’t Stonewalling Stonewalling is a choice. Shutdown is a lockout. Stonewalling says, “I won’t talk to you.” Shutdown says, “I can’t talk to you yet, but I will.” The key difference? Repair intention. A shutdown protocol builds that right into the process. The Ten-Minute At-Home Drill Co-create your signal and card. Agree on a pause window. Pack the downgrade kit. Rehearse the exchange (“Got it, I’m with you.”). Check in weekly to tweak the system. Remember, you’re not aiming for zero shutdowns. You’re aiming for shorter, kinder, safer ones. Why This Works Because it matches lived autistic experience (Raymaker et al., 2020; Lewis et al., 2023). Because it honors nervous system limits instead of punishing them (Malik et al., 2019). Because it lets both partners keep their dignity and still solve the problem. In other words: you’re building a marriage that can survive the occasional moments when the words are gone for the time being. Be Well, Stay Kind, and Godspeed. REFERENCES: Hull, L., Mandy, W., Lai, M.-C., Baron-Cohen, S., Allison, C., Smith, P., & Petrides, K. V. (2017). “Putting on my best normal”: Social camouflaging in adults with autism spectrum conditions. Autism, 21(5), 611–622. https://doi.org/10.1177/1362361316671012 Raymaker, D. M., Teo, A. R., Steckler, N. A., Lentz, B., Scharer, M., Delos Santos, A., … & Nicolaidis, C. (2020). “Having all of your internal resources exhausted beyond measure and being left with no clean-up crew”: Defining autistic burnout. Autism in Adulthood, 2(2), 132–143. https://doi.org/10.1089/aut.2019.0079 Mantzalas, J., Richdale, A. L., Adikari, A., Lowe, J., & Dissanayake, C. (2022). What Is Autistic Burnout? A thematic analysis of posts on two online platforms. Autism in Adulthood, 4(1), 52–65. https://doi.org/10.1089/aut.2021.0079 Lewis, L. F., et al. (2023). The lived experience of meltdowns for autistic adults. Autism, 27(7), 1787–1799. https://doi.org/10.1177/13623613221145783 Malik, J., et al. (2019). Emotional flooding in response to negative affect in romantic relationships. Journal of Couple & Relationship Therapy, 18(4), 327–349. https://doi.org/10.1080/15332691.2019.1641188 Gottman Institute. (2024, March 4). Making sure emotional flooding doesn’t capsize your relationship. Retrieved from https://www.gottman.com/blog/making-sure-emotional-flooding-doesnt-capsize-your-relationship/

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Fact Check: Transcript
00:00
Vance you flip flop faster than
pages in the Bible. You talk a
big game about Christian values
but you support closing the
border, deporting refugees,
separating immigrant families,
even building detention camps.
You treat faith like a
political tool. One day you use
it to oppose same sex marriage.
The next you use it to justify
expansionism. On Sunday you're
on your knees in church. On
Monday you're backing Trump's
America first agenda. In the of
traditional family, you support
00:32
cutting aid for the poor. In
the name of border security,
you support violent enforcement
against asylum seekers. That's
not defending values that's
wrapping cruelty in scripture.
You say it's about protecting
the country but I remember
Jesus talked about welcoming
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Fact Check: Transcript 00:00 Vance you flip flop faster than pages in the Bible. You talk a big game about Christian values but you support closing the border, deporting refugees, separating immigrant families, even building detention camps. You treat faith like a political tool. One day you use it to oppose same sex marriage. The next you use it to justify expansionism. On Sunday you're on your knees in church. On Monday you're backing Trump's America first agenda. In the of traditional family, you support 00:32 cutting aid for the poor. In the name of border security, you support violent enforcement against asylum seekers. That's not defending values that's wrapping cruelty in scripture. You say it's about protecting the country but I remember Jesus talked about welcoming

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Fact Check: The US is losing billions of dollars a day on trade | TruthOrFake Blog