Fact Check: "The SMART Elections analysis of swing state drop-off votes indicates likely voting machine tampering by republicans in the 2024 election."
What We Know
The claim suggests that an analysis by SMART Elections indicates potential voting machine tampering by Republicans based on discrepancies in drop-off votes during the 2024 presidential election. Drop-off votes refer to the difference between the number of votes cast for the presidential candidate and the votes cast for the same party's Senate candidate in down-ballot races. According to SMART Elections, they conducted a study examining drop-off rates in 17 states, including six swing states, and reported findings that they deemed "strange" regarding these discrepancies (Newsweek).
The SMART Elections organization is described as a nonpartisan group focused on improving election security (SMART Elections). However, the specific details of their analysis, including the methodology and the extent of the discrepancies, have not been widely disseminated or scrutinized in peer-reviewed contexts.
Analysis
The assertion of likely voting machine tampering is a serious allegation that requires substantial evidence. While SMART Elections noted unusual patterns in drop-off votes, the organization has not provided definitive proof linking these patterns to tampering. The context of their findings is crucial; they have indicated that the results "seem strange," but this phrase does not equate to evidence of tampering (SMART Elections).
Additionally, the broader political context surrounding the 2024 election is marked by heightened scrutiny of election integrity, particularly from Republican circles, which have previously propagated claims of widespread voter fraud without substantial evidence (Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 United States presidential election). This backdrop raises questions about the motivations behind claims of tampering and the reliability of the sources making these claims.
Moreover, the SMART Elections analysis has not been independently verified, and the organization itself has been described as nonpartisan. However, without peer-reviewed validation or corroboration from independent electoral experts, the reliability of their findings remains uncertain.
Conclusion
Needs Research. The claim regarding likely voting machine tampering based on SMART Elections' analysis of drop-off votes in swing states lacks sufficient evidence to be substantiated at this time. While the organization has raised concerns about the data, the absence of detailed methodology and independent verification means that further investigation is necessary before drawing definitive conclusions about tampering or electoral fraud.
Sources
- Smart β Wikipedia
- Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 United States presidential election
- DropOff - SMART Elections
- Tutustu smart-mallistoon | smart Suomi
- What's Behind 'Rigged' 2024 Election Claims - Newsweek
- The Press Release - by SMART Elections and Lulu Friesdat
- SMART Elections
- Press Releases - SMART Elections