Fact Check: Senate Majority Leader John Thune can afford to lose only three GOP votes on President Donald Trump's final tax and spending bill.

Fact Check: Senate Majority Leader John Thune can afford to lose only three GOP votes on President Donald Trump's final tax and spending bill.

Published June 17, 2025
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VERDICT
Partially True

# Fact Check: "Senate Majority Leader John Thune can afford to lose only three GOP votes on President Donald Trump's final tax and spending bill." ##...

Fact Check: "Senate Majority Leader John Thune can afford to lose only three GOP votes on President Donald Trump's final tax and spending bill."

What We Know

Senate Majority Leader John Thune is currently navigating a significant legislative challenge with President Donald Trump's tax and spending bill. Reports indicate that Thune can afford to lose only four votes from the Republican side in the Senate, not three, due to the necessity of maintaining a simple majority against a united Democratic opposition (AP News). This situation arises from the fact that the Senate operates under a 50-50 split, meaning that any tie would require Vice President Kamala Harris to cast the deciding vote. Thus, losing four GOP votes would still allow Thune to pass the bill with a 50-46 vote, assuming all Democrats oppose it.

Furthermore, the House of Representatives passed a version of the bill with a narrow margin, indicating the contentious nature of the legislation and the need for careful negotiation among Senate Republicans (Washington Post).

Analysis

The claim that Thune can only afford to lose three GOP votes appears to stem from a misunderstanding or miscommunication regarding the Senate's voting dynamics. The correct figure is four votes, as confirmed by multiple sources (AP News, Yahoo News). This discrepancy is crucial because it reflects the delicate balance Thune must maintain within his party to ensure the bill's passage.

The reliability of the sources reporting on this matter is generally high. The Associated Press and Washington Post are reputable news organizations known for their journalistic standards. They provide detailed coverage of political events and legislative processes, making their reports credible. However, the Yahoo News article, while also reporting on the situation, should be cross-referenced with primary sources for accuracy, as it may summarize information from other outlets.

Conclusion

The claim that "Senate Majority Leader John Thune can afford to lose only three GOP votes" is Partially True. While the statement captures the urgency and the precariousness of Thune's position, it inaccurately states the number of votes he can afford to lose. The correct number is four, which is critical for understanding the legislative landscape surrounding Trump's tax and spending bill.

Sources

  1. June 10, 2025 The Honorable John Thune Majority Leader ...
  2. Thune's first big test as Senate leader has arrived with Trump's tax bill
  3. For Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Trump's big bill is a big test
  4. Sen. Majority Leader John Thune to work with Senate on Trump tax bill
  5. Senate GOP hits roadblocks in push to pass Trump's tax ...

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Fact Check: Senate Majority Leader John Thune can afford to lose only three GOP votes on President Donald Trump's final tax and spending bill. | TruthOrFake Blog