Fact Check: "Sara Duterte has a big chance of becoming Philippine president in 2028"
What We Know
The next presidential election in the Philippines is scheduled for May 15, 2028. This election will be significant as it will determine the 18th president of the Philippines, with the current president, Bongbong Marcos, being term-limited and ineligible for re-election (2028 Philippine presidential election). Vice President Sara Duterte, who is currently serving her term, is eligible for re-election and has expressed interest in running for the presidency in 2028 (2028 Philippine presidential election).
Recent polling data indicates that Sara Duterte is currently a leading candidate for the presidency. In various surveys conducted by organizations such as Oculum Research and Analytics and Pulse Asia, she has consistently been identified as a top choice among voters (Opinion polling for the 2028 Philippine presidential election, Sara Duterte Leads Philippines 2028 Presidential Polls | TIME). For instance, a recent survey showed that she garnered approximately 25.4% voter preference, making her the top contender (VP Sara tops potential 2028 presidential bets in Q2 poll).
However, it is important to note that Sara Duterte is currently facing impeachment proceedings, which could significantly affect her political future. If she is convicted, she would be barred from holding any government position, including the presidency (2028 Philippine presidential election).
Analysis
The claim that Sara Duterte has a big chance of becoming president in 2028 is supported by her current standing in opinion polls, where she is often cited as a leading candidate (Sara Duterte Leads Philippines 2028 Presidential Polls | TIME, VP Sara tops potential 2028 presidential bets in Q2 poll). However, the ongoing impeachment proceedings against her pose a serious risk to her candidacy. If she is impeached and convicted, it would not only remove her from office but also prevent her from running for the presidency (2028 Philippine presidential election).
The sources providing information about her polling numbers are generally credible, as they come from established polling organizations and reputable news outlets. However, the political landscape can change rapidly, especially in the context of impeachment and public sentiment, which can fluctuate based on current events and political developments.
Moreover, the political dynamics in the Philippines are complex, with various potential candidates emerging, including opposition figures like Senator Risa Hontiveros, who has also expressed interest in running (2028 Philippine presidential election). This could further complicate Duterte's chances, especially if the opposition consolidates around a strong candidate.
Conclusion
The claim that "Sara Duterte has a big chance of becoming Philippine president in 2028" is Partially True. While she currently leads in opinion polls and has expressed interest in running, her chances are significantly jeopardized by the ongoing impeachment proceedings against her. If she is unable to overcome these legal challenges, her candidacy could be severely impacted, making her path to the presidency uncertain.
Sources
- 2028 Philippine presidential election
- Opinion polling for the 2028 Philippine presidential election
- VP Sara tops potential 2028 presidential bets in Q2 poll
- Sara Duterte Leads Philippines 2028 Presidential Polls | TIME
- Sara Duterte, Leni Robredo emerge as top contenders in early 2028
- VP Sara Duterte Still Top Pick for 2028 Elections
