Fact Check: "Sanctions lose effectiveness without regular updates."
What We Know
The claim that "sanctions lose effectiveness without regular updates" is supported by various studies and expert opinions. A recent book titled How Sanctions Work: Iran and the Impact of Economic Warfare discusses the efficacy of sanctions, particularly in the context of Iran, which has been one of the most sanctioned countries globally. The authors argue that sanctions often do not achieve their intended goals and can sometimes strengthen the targeted regime rather than weaken it (source-1).
Moreover, the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) has noted that the effectiveness of sanctions can be influenced by various factors, including the need for regular assessments and updates to adapt to changing circumstances (source-2). This suggests that without regular updates, the impact of sanctions may diminish over time.
Analysis
The assertion that sanctions require regular updates to maintain their effectiveness is partially substantiated by the literature. For instance, the GAO report emphasizes the importance of ongoing assessments to ensure sanctions remain relevant and impactful (source-2). Additionally, experts have pointed out that sanctions can lead to unintended consequences, such as strengthening the very regimes they aim to weaken, particularly when they are not adjusted to reflect the evolving political landscape (source-1).
However, the effectiveness of sanctions is also contingent on their design and implementation. Some experts argue that sanctions can be effective when applied with discipline and as part of a broader diplomatic strategy (source-1). This indicates that while regular updates may enhance effectiveness, they are not the sole factor determining the success of sanctions.
The literature also highlights that sanctions have achieved foreign policy goals in only about 13% of cases since 1970, suggesting that their overall effectiveness is limited (source-1).
Conclusion
The claim that "sanctions lose effectiveness without regular updates" is Partially True. While there is substantial evidence indicating that regular assessments and updates can enhance the effectiveness of sanctions, it is also clear that sanctions are inherently complex and their success depends on multiple factors, including their design and the broader geopolitical context. Therefore, while regular updates are beneficial, they are not the only determinant of a sanction's effectiveness.
Sources
- Do sanctions actually work? Experts evaluate the efficacy of this ...
- PDF ECONOMIC SANCTIONS - U.S. Government Accountability Office (U.S. GAO)
- Recent Trends in Sanctions: Designations, Divergence, Secondary - Dow Jones
- Sanctions effectiveness: what lessons three years into the war on ...
- On the effectiveness of the sanctions on Russia: New data and new ...