Fact Check: "Russian drone and missile attacks on civilian targets surged in May and June 2023."
What We Know
In recent months, there has been a notable increase in Russian drone and missile attacks on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure. Reports indicate that in May 2023, Russia conducted aerial attacks on 21 days, a significant rise compared to previous months, where such attacks were less frequent. For instance, in January 2023, there were only three days of aerial attacks reported (BBC). Furthermore, the Yale Humanitarian Research Lab documented 223 attacks against Ukraine’s power infrastructure from October 2022 to April 2023, indicating a systematic approach to targeting critical infrastructure (OSCE).
Additionally, a recent report noted that on a single night in March 2024, Russia launched over 60 drones and nearly 90 missiles, leading to civilian casualties and damage to critical infrastructure (OSCE). This pattern of increased attacks aligns with the broader context of Russia's military strategy, which has been characterized by targeting civilian infrastructure to undermine Ukraine's resilience (CSIS).
Analysis
The claim that Russian drone and missile attacks on civilian targets surged in May and June 2023 is supported by multiple sources. The data from the BBC indicates a clear increase in the frequency of attacks during those months, which suggests a strategic escalation by Russian forces (BBC). The Yale Humanitarian Research Lab's findings further corroborate this by showing a sustained pattern of attacks on critical infrastructure, which is often civilian in nature (OSCE).
However, while the evidence supports the claim of increased attacks, the context is crucial. The escalation in May and June 2023 follows a period of intense military activity, and the attacks are part of a broader strategy that has been ongoing since the beginning of the conflict. This long-term strategy raises questions about the specific motivations behind the surge in attacks during these months, as well as the implications for civilian safety and international response.
The reliability of the sources used in this analysis is generally high. The BBC and OSCE are reputable organizations known for their journalistic integrity and thorough reporting. The Yale Humanitarian Research Lab is also recognized for its rigorous research methodologies. However, it is important to note that the context of the conflict can lead to bias in reporting, particularly from sources with strong national or ideological affiliations.
Conclusion
Needs Research. While there is substantial evidence indicating a surge in Russian drone and missile attacks on civilian targets during May and June 2023, further investigation is necessary to fully understand the implications of these attacks and the broader context of the conflict. The data shows a clear increase in frequency, but the motivations and strategic objectives behind this escalation require deeper analysis.
Sources
- On Russia's Intensified Missile Attacks Against Civilian Infrastructure
- One killed, 14 injured in overnight Russian attack on ...
- Attacks in Russia during the Russian invasion of Ukraine
- Drone Saturation: Russia's Shahed Campaign - CSIS
- Kyiv missile strikes: Tracking the rise of Russian attacks
- Russian Firepower Strike Tracker: Analyzing Missile ...
