Fact Check: "Right-wing candidates Kast and Matthei lead in voting intention polls!"
What We Know
Recent polling data indicates that right-wing candidates José Antonio Kast and Evelyn Matthei are indeed leading in the voting intention for the upcoming 2025 Chilean presidential elections. According to a Bloomberg report, a poll conducted in May 2025 showed Kast and Matthei tied at the top of the list, reflecting a significant shift in public sentiment towards right-wing candidates. This trend is further supported by a broader rightward drift in Chilean public opinion, as noted in an analysis of the political landscape leading up to the elections, which highlights the dissatisfaction with the current government and a growing preference for conservative policies (Daniel Brieba).
Analysis
The claim that Kast and Matthei lead in polls is substantiated by multiple sources. The Wikipedia page on opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election lists various polls that consistently show these candidates at or near the top. The data suggests a competitive race, with Kast gaining ground in recent months, even overtaking Matthei in some surveys.
However, it is essential to consider the context of these polls. The political environment in Chile has been marked by significant instability and discontent with the current administration, led by Gabriel Boric. The rejection of the 2022 constitutional draft and ongoing concerns about crime and migration have contributed to a shift in voter preferences towards the right (Daniel Brieba). This context may influence the reliability of polling data, as public opinion can be volatile and subject to rapid changes based on current events.
Moreover, while the data indicates a lead for Kast and Matthei, it is crucial to note that the political landscape is fluid. The left-wing primary elections, which are set to occur soon, could significantly alter the dynamics of the race. If a strong left-wing candidate emerges, it could challenge the current standing of the right-wing candidates (Daniel Brieba).
Conclusion
The claim that right-wing candidates Kast and Matthei lead in voting intention polls is Partially True. While current polling does show them at the top, the political landscape is subject to change, particularly with upcoming left-wing primaries that could reshape voter preferences. Therefore, while the data supports the claim, the potential for shifts in the electoral landscape means it should be viewed with caution.
