Fact Check: Only 14% of Taiwanese believe the US will intervene militarily in a conflict.

Fact Check: "Only 14% of Taiwanese believe the US will intervene militarily in a conflict."

What We Know

The claim that "only 14% of Taiwanese believe the US will intervene militarily in a conflict" lacks clear substantiation from reliable sources. A survey conducted by the Brookings Institution in March 2025 reported that approximately 37.5% of respondents in Taiwan believed it was "likely" or "very likely" that the United States would intervene in a military conflict involving Taiwan (Brookings). This suggests that the percentage of Taiwanese who believe in US military intervention is significantly higher than the 14% stated in the claim.

Analysis

The claim appears to be a misrepresentation or misunderstanding of survey data regarding Taiwanese perceptions of US military support. The Brookings Institution's survey provides a more comprehensive view of public sentiment, indicating that a substantial minority of Taiwanese citizens have confidence in US intervention in the event of a conflict (Brookings).

Furthermore, the claim lacks citation from a credible source that explicitly states the 14% figure. The absence of supporting data or context raises concerns about the reliability of the claim. The Brookings survey is a well-regarded research institution, which adds to its credibility compared to unverified claims circulating without proper attribution.

In addition, the context of public opinion regarding US intervention is complex and influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions and historical relationships. Therefore, it is essential to rely on comprehensive surveys and studies that provide a nuanced understanding of public sentiment rather than isolated claims.

Conclusion

Needs Research. The claim that only 14% of Taiwanese believe in US military intervention is not supported by reliable data and appears to be significantly lower than reported figures from credible surveys. Further investigation into the sources of this claim is necessary to understand its origins and accuracy.

Sources

1. البوابة الإلكترونية لمحافظة أسوان
2. Is a Coming War in the Taiwan Strait a Myth?
3. البوابة الإلكترونية لمحافظة أسوان - Aswan
4. المركز التكنولوجى بأسوان
5. مركز التدريب والتنمية المهنية المستدامة بأسوان
6. ادارة موقع محافظة أسوان
7. مركز التدريب والتنمية المهنية المستدامة بأسوان
8. The Trump effect on public attitudes toward America in Taiwan and South Korea