Fact Check: New bill projected to increase federal deficit by $5 trillion!

Fact Check: New bill projected to increase federal deficit by $5 trillion!

Published June 30, 2025
VERDICT
False

# Fact Check: "New bill projected to increase federal deficit by $5 trillion!" ## What We Know The claim that a new bill will increase the federal de...

Fact Check: "New bill projected to increase federal deficit by $5 trillion!"

What We Know

The claim that a new bill will increase the federal deficit by $5 trillion is misleading. The bill in question, known as the H.R. 1, One Big Beautiful Bill Act, as passed by the House of Representatives on May 22, 2025, has been analyzed by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). According to the CBO's dynamic estimate, the bill is projected to increase the primary deficit by approximately $2.4 trillion over the period from 2025 to 2034, not $5 trillion as claimed (CBO).

Moreover, when accounting for macroeconomic effects, the CBO estimates that the overall increase in the deficit would be about $2.8 trillion over the same period, which is significantly lower than the $5 trillion figure (CBO).

Analysis

The assertion that the new bill will add $5 trillion to the federal deficit appears to stem from a misunderstanding or misrepresentation of the CBO's findings. The CBO's analysis indicates that while the bill does indeed increase the deficit, the total increase is projected to be around $2.8 trillion, which includes a reduction in revenues and an increase in interest payments due to higher debt levels (CBO).

Additionally, other analyses, such as one from the White House, suggest that the bill could potentially reduce deficits by $11.1 trillion through various economic growth measures and spending cuts, further complicating the narrative around the bill's financial impact (White House).

The claim of a $5 trillion increase may also be conflated with discussions about raising the federal borrowing limit, which has been proposed to be increased by $5 trillion in a separate context, but this is not directly linked to the deficit increase attributed to H.R. 1 (Reuters, NPR).

Overall, the sources discussing the deficit increase vary in their reliability. The CBO is a nonpartisan agency known for its thorough economic analyses, while the White House's analysis may carry some bias as it supports the administration's agenda. Reports from news outlets like Reuters and NPR provide context but should be interpreted carefully, as they may also reflect political biases.

Conclusion

Verdict: False. The claim that the new bill will increase the federal deficit by $5 trillion is not supported by the CBO's analysis, which estimates a total increase of approximately $2.8 trillion over the 2025-2034 period. The $5 trillion figure appears to be a misrepresentation or conflation with other legislative discussions, particularly regarding the debt ceiling, which is a separate issue.

Sources

  1. H.R. 1, One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Dynamic Estimate) (https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61486)
  2. Analysis: One Big Beautiful Bill Will Boost Wages, Lower Deficits (https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/06/analysis-one-big-beautiful-bill-will-boost-wages-lower-deficits/)
  3. US Senate pushes ahead on Trump tax cuts as ... (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-pushes-ahead-trump-tax-cuts-nonpartisan-analysis-raises-price-tag-2025-06-29/)
  4. GOP megabill narrowly wins first test in the Senate. Here's ... (https://www.npr.org/2025/06/28/g-s1-74388/senate-big-beautiful-bill)

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Fact Check: If you're an American citizen with a phone, Israel has all of your data. Thanks to Trump's new bill. Trump is using Palenteer, an Israeli AI data paste to collect information on US citizens on their cellphone. And the man in charge of Palote, an Israeli citizen who is best friends with Israel's president. Here they too are right here. Now Paloteer who has ties with the Israeli government now has full control over your phone. They're giving us information over to the US government and probably Israel. And if you're wondering yes this is in effect. Make sure

Detailed fact-check analysis of: If you're an American citizen with a phone, Israel has all of your data. Thanks to Trump's new bill. Trump is using Palenteer, an Israeli AI data paste to collect information on US citizens on their cellphone. And the man in charge of Palote, an Israeli citizen who is best friends with Israel's president. Here they too are right here. Now Paloteer who has ties with the Israeli government now has full control over your phone. They're giving us information over to the US government and probably Israel. And if you're wondering yes this is in effect. Make sure

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Fact Check: Autistic Non-Verbal Episodes in Marriage: Why Words Vanish Sometimes and What to Do About It Neurodiverse Couples Tuesday, august 12, 2025. Here’s the scene: You’re in the middle of a conversation with your spouse. Maybe the topic is small (“Did you pay the water bill?”) or monumental (“Are we happy?”). And then—without warning—your autistic partner’s voice disappears. No yelling, no slammed doors. Just… gone. You’re left holding the conversational steering wheel while they’ve quietly climbed into the trunk. If you’ve never lived with high-functioning autism, this can be tragically misconstrued as stonewalling or contempt. It isn’t. It’s just neurology pulling the emergency brake. Why This Happens: The Science Without the Lab Coat Smell For autistic adults, losing speech under stress is often a shutdown—a form of nervous system overload that knocks language production offline. Think of it like your phone freezing: all the apps are still there, but none of them open when you tap. Research calls this autistic burnout when it happens in a longer, chronic cycle—linked to masking (Hull et al., 2017; Raymaker et al., 2020). Masking is the art of “performing normal” so well that non-autistic people think you’re fine. The issue is that it eats through your energy reserves like a car idling in traffic with the A/C on full blast (Mantzalas et al., 2022). Eventually, one hard conversation can tip you from functional to frozen. And here’s where couples therapy meets neuroscience: physiological flooding—the body’s fight/flight/freeze switch—is a known relationship killer (Malik et al., 2019; Gottman Institute, 2024). In other words, for some autistic partners, flooding may tend to show up sooner, last longer, and is more likely to pull the plug on speech entirely. The Danger Loop in Marriage Autistic partner goes non-verbal — brain says “nope.” Non-autistic partner reads it as avoidance — brain says “attack.” Pressure increases — “Just say something.” Shutdown deepens — and now you’ve both lost. Do that a few hundred times and you’ll start conflating a physiological response into a moral failing. That’s the real marriage-killer. The Protocol: Three Phases, Zero Guesswork This is where we get practical. You can’t “love away” a temporary shutdown, but you can stop it from turning into World War III. Before: Build the Net Name the state. Agree on a phrase or signal ( I call this a couple code)—such as “words offline,” “shutdown,” a hand over the heart. The point is to make the invisible visible. The Shutdown Card. A literal card that says: I can’t speak right now. Please lower lights, reduce sound, give me X minutes. I promise I will circle back. The Pause Rule. Require a minimum of 20 minutes before resuming any tough talk. Autistic partner may need 90+. Agree ahead of time. Downgrade Kit. the usual gear; earplugs, soft light, weighted blanket, fidget, a quiet room. You know, human decency in object form. Reduce Daily Load. Avoid heavy talks right after work or big social events. Chronic overload makes a nervous shutdown more probable. During: Do Less, Better Autistic Partner: Give the signal. Exit stimulation. Switch channels if possible (text, notes app, yes/no cards). Send a short pre-written message: “Safe, can’t talk, back at 8:15.” Non-Autistic Partner: Acknowledge once—“Got it, I’m with you.” Hold the pause boundary. Lower stimuli. Go regulate your own nervous system—walk, journal, pet the dog. Don’t rehearse comebacks. Both: Avoid sarcasm, interrogation, ultimatums. Nothing lengthens a shutdown like moral outrage. After: Close the Loop Check in: “Are you ready to talk, or should we start in text?” Debrief: Identify triggers and what helped. Solve the actual problem. 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In other words: you’re building a marriage that can survive the occasional moments when the words are gone for the time being. Be Well, Stay Kind, and Godspeed. REFERENCES: Hull, L., Mandy, W., Lai, M.-C., Baron-Cohen, S., Allison, C., Smith, P., & Petrides, K. V. (2017). “Putting on my best normal”: Social camouflaging in adults with autism spectrum conditions. Autism, 21(5), 611–622. https://doi.org/10.1177/1362361316671012 Raymaker, D. M., Teo, A. R., Steckler, N. A., Lentz, B., Scharer, M., Delos Santos, A., … & Nicolaidis, C. (2020). “Having all of your internal resources exhausted beyond measure and being left with no clean-up crew”: Defining autistic burnout. Autism in Adulthood, 2(2), 132–143. https://doi.org/10.1089/aut.2019.0079 Mantzalas, J., Richdale, A. L., Adikari, A., Lowe, J., & Dissanayake, C. (2022). What Is Autistic Burnout? A thematic analysis of posts on two online platforms. Autism in Adulthood, 4(1), 52–65. https://doi.org/10.1089/aut.2021.0079 Lewis, L. F., et al. (2023). The lived experience of meltdowns for autistic adults. Autism, 27(7), 1787–1799. https://doi.org/10.1177/13623613221145783 Malik, J., et al. (2019). Emotional flooding in response to negative affect in romantic relationships. Journal of Couple & Relationship Therapy, 18(4), 327–349. https://doi.org/10.1080/15332691.2019.1641188 Gottman Institute. (2024, March 4). Making sure emotional flooding doesn’t capsize your relationship. Retrieved from https://www.gottman.com/blog/making-sure-emotional-flooding-doesnt-capsize-your-relationship/

Detailed fact-check analysis of: Autistic Non-Verbal Episodes in Marriage: Why Words Vanish Sometimes and What to Do About It Neurodiverse Couples Tuesday, august 12, 2025. Here’s the scene: You’re in the middle of a conversation with your spouse. Maybe the topic is small (“Did you pay the water bill?”) or monumental (“Are we happy?”). And then—without warning—your autistic partner’s voice disappears. No yelling, no slammed doors. Just… gone. You’re left holding the conversational steering wheel while they’ve quietly climbed into the trunk. If you’ve never lived with high-functioning autism, this can be tragically misconstrued as stonewalling or contempt. It isn’t. It’s just neurology pulling the emergency brake. Why This Happens: The Science Without the Lab Coat Smell For autistic adults, losing speech under stress is often a shutdown—a form of nervous system overload that knocks language production offline. 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The Danger Loop in Marriage Autistic partner goes non-verbal — brain says “nope.” Non-autistic partner reads it as avoidance — brain says “attack.” Pressure increases — “Just say something.” Shutdown deepens — and now you’ve both lost. Do that a few hundred times and you’ll start conflating a physiological response into a moral failing. That’s the real marriage-killer. The Protocol: Three Phases, Zero Guesswork This is where we get practical. You can’t “love away” a temporary shutdown, but you can stop it from turning into World War III. Before: Build the Net Name the state. Agree on a phrase or signal ( I call this a couple code)—such as “words offline,” “shutdown,” a hand over the heart. The point is to make the invisible visible. The Shutdown Card. A literal card that says: I can’t speak right now. Please lower lights, reduce sound, give me X minutes. I promise I will circle back. The Pause Rule. Require a minimum of 20 minutes before resuming any tough talk. Autistic partner may need 90+. Agree ahead of time. Downgrade Kit. the usual gear; earplugs, soft light, weighted blanket, fidget, a quiet room. You know, human decency in object form. Reduce Daily Load. Avoid heavy talks right after work or big social events. Chronic overload makes a nervous shutdown more probable. During: Do Less, Better Autistic Partner: Give the signal. Exit stimulation. Switch channels if possible (text, notes app, yes/no cards). Send a short pre-written message: “Safe, can’t talk, back at 8:15.” Non-Autistic Partner: Acknowledge once—“Got it, I’m with you.” Hold the pause boundary. Lower stimuli. Go regulate your own nervous system—walk, journal, pet the dog. Don’t rehearse comebacks. Both: Avoid sarcasm, interrogation, ultimatums. Nothing lengthens a shutdown like moral outrage. After: Close the Loop Check in: “Are you ready to talk, or should we start in text?” Debrief: Identify triggers and what helped. Solve the actual problem. No conflict gets left to rot in the corner. Spot burnout early. If shutdowns start clustering, it’s time to reduce demands, not double them. How This Isn’t Stonewalling Stonewalling is a choice. Shutdown is a lockout. Stonewalling says, “I won’t talk to you.” Shutdown says, “I can’t talk to you yet, but I will.” The key difference? Repair intention. A shutdown protocol builds that right into the process. The Ten-Minute At-Home Drill Co-create your signal and card. Agree on a pause window. Pack the downgrade kit. Rehearse the exchange (“Got it, I’m with you.”). Check in weekly to tweak the system. Remember, you’re not aiming for zero shutdowns. You’re aiming for shorter, kinder, safer ones. Why This Works Because it matches lived autistic experience (Raymaker et al., 2020; Lewis et al., 2023). Because it honors nervous system limits instead of punishing them (Malik et al., 2019). Because it lets both partners keep their dignity and still solve the problem. 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