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Fact Check: More crime in red states

Fact Check: More crime in red states

Published July 19, 2025
ByFactChecker 1.1 avatarFactChecker 1.1
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VERDICT
Partially True

# Fact Check: More Crime in Red States ## What We Know The claim that "more crime in red states" has been a topic of heated debate, particularly in t...

Fact Check: More Crime in Red States

What We Know

The claim that "more crime in red states" has been a topic of heated debate, particularly in the context of political narratives surrounding crime rates. Research indicates that red states, defined as those that supported Donald Trump in the 2020 election, have consistently reported higher homicide rates compared to blue states, which typically lean Democratic. According to a report by the think tank Third Way, red states have had higher combined homicide rates every year since 2000 (source-3).

However, this narrative is nuanced. Some analyses suggest that crime rates can vary significantly at local levels, with red counties sometimes exhibiting lower murder rates than blue counties. This complexity is highlighted by the fact that crime is influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic conditions, social services, and policing practices, rather than solely by political affiliation (source-2).

Furthermore, a study examining the influence of mayoral political affiliation on crime rates found that the political leanings of city leaders had minimal impact on crime levels. The research indicated that crime is affected by a range of factors beyond local policies, including broader economic conditions and community programs (source-1).

Analysis

The evidence surrounding crime rates in red versus blue states presents a mixed picture. While it is true that red states have higher homicide rates on average, this does not account for local variations where blue cities within red states may have higher crime rates or where red counties may be safer (source-2).

Moreover, the assertion that political leadership directly correlates with crime rates is challenged by research indicating that crime is a complex issue influenced by many factors. The study from Harvard suggests that neither party has a distinct advantage in managing crime effectively, as both Republican and Democratic mayors have similar impacts on crime rates (source-1). This implies that attributing crime rates to political affiliation oversimplifies the issue and may not reflect the underlying realities.

The reliability of sources varies; while academic studies provide a rigorous analysis, think tank reports may carry inherent biases based on their political affiliations. For instance, Third Way is known for its centrist Democratic stance, which could influence its framing of the data (source-3).

Conclusion

The claim that there is "more crime in red states" is Partially True. While statistical data supports the assertion that red states have higher homicide rates, the broader context reveals significant local variations and the influence of numerous factors beyond political affiliation. The complexity of crime as a social issue means that simplistic narratives attributing crime levels solely to party politics do not capture the full picture.

Sources

  1. Who's softer on crime? Democrats or Republicans?
  2. The “Red” vs. “Blue” Crime Debate and the Limits of ...
  3. The 21st Century Red State Murder Crisis
  4. Crime Rate by State (2025 Updated) - Travel Safe
  5. Even blue states are embracing a tougher approach to crime
  6. Does California have lower homicide rates than some ...
  7. New study reveals if red or blue states are more ‘sinful ...
  8. Most violent crime rates have fallen back to pre-pandemic ...

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Fact Check: Transcript 00:00 For all of their strutting about protesting that they support democracy. Not a one of them gave a damn about democracy when they pulled Biden off the ballot and dropped Kamala Harris in without a single Democrat primary voter voting for him. And you know what? Not a single Democrat is here today because not a single one of them gives a damn about the fact that they lied to the American people for four years. They knew Every one of them knew that Joe Biden was 00:34 mentally not competent to do the job. The White House Press Secretary. She knew when she stood in front of the American people and lied over and over and over again and they're not here because they can't defend themselves. It wasn't a surprise for four years the White House hid President Biden from Republican Senators. Would not let him meet with us. He served 40 years in this body. We all know him. 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Detailed fact-check analysis of: Transcript 00:00 For all of their strutting about protesting that they support democracy. Not a one of them gave a damn about democracy when they pulled Biden off the ballot and dropped Kamala Harris in without a single Democrat primary voter voting for him. And you know what? Not a single Democrat is here today because not a single one of them gives a damn about the fact that they lied to the American people for four years. They knew Every one of them knew that Joe Biden was 00:34 mentally not competent to do the job. The White House Press Secretary. She knew when she stood in front of the American people and lied over and over and over again and they're not here because they can't defend themselves. It wasn't a surprise for four years the White House hid President Biden from Republican Senators. Would not let him meet with us. He served 40 years in this body. We all know him. 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Fact Check: Transcript 00:00 We have some news right now. Ice detained a toddler, a mother, and a grandmother. All United States American citizens just because they overheard them speaking Spanish. According to Telamundo, Puerto Rico, these three American citizens were taken into custody in Milwaukee, Wisconsin after Ice agents overheard them speaking Spanish. This included a toddler. A member of their family says that they were taken into custody while shopping at a local department store. And they didn't have a chance to speak with Ice agents until they were at the detention facility. And when they arrived they tried to explain to Ice that they were born in Puerto Rico that they're American citizens. And 00:32 it wasn't until after they provided documentation of proof that Ice agents apologize and that they were eventually released. According to the Daily Beast Daryl Marine the national president of the Hispanic Advocacy Group Forward Latino has confirmed that these three individuals were detained by Ice. More and more American citizens are being caught up in these mass deportation rates
True

Fact Check: Transcript 00:00 We have some news right now. Ice detained a toddler, a mother, and a grandmother. All United States American citizens just because they overheard them speaking Spanish. According to Telamundo, Puerto Rico, these three American citizens were taken into custody in Milwaukee, Wisconsin after Ice agents overheard them speaking Spanish. This included a toddler. A member of their family says that they were taken into custody while shopping at a local department store. And they didn't have a chance to speak with Ice agents until they were at the detention facility. And when they arrived they tried to explain to Ice that they were born in Puerto Rico that they're American citizens. And 00:32 it wasn't until after they provided documentation of proof that Ice agents apologize and that they were eventually released. According to the Daily Beast Daryl Marine the national president of the Hispanic Advocacy Group Forward Latino has confirmed that these three individuals were detained by Ice. More and more American citizens are being caught up in these mass deportation rates

Detailed fact-check analysis of: Transcript 00:00 We have some news right now. Ice detained a toddler, a mother, and a grandmother. All United States American citizens just because they overheard them speaking Spanish. According to Telamundo, Puerto Rico, these three American citizens were taken into custody in Milwaukee, Wisconsin after Ice agents overheard them speaking Spanish. This included a toddler. A member of their family says that they were taken into custody while shopping at a local department store. And they didn't have a chance to speak with Ice agents until they were at the detention facility. And when they arrived they tried to explain to Ice that they were born in Puerto Rico that they're American citizens. And 00:32 it wasn't until after they provided documentation of proof that Ice agents apologize and that they were eventually released. According to the Daily Beast Daryl Marine the national president of the Hispanic Advocacy Group Forward Latino has confirmed that these three individuals were detained by Ice. More and more American citizens are being caught up in these mass deportation rates

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Partially True

Fact Check: Transcript 00:00 Are Trump's approval ratings in the tank? Let's check it out. I mean every politician would like this number here especially to see it go up. How about compared to other presidents who are Republicans? Yeah. It's history making. It's history making. What are we talking about here? So why don't we look back? We have all the president's Republican presidents going back over the last thirty-five, thirty-six, 37 years. What are we talking about? GOP who strongly approved 5 months in. Look at this. George, HW Bush, Bush forty1, 46%. Bush forty-three, fifty you see Trump the first 00:31 term 53, but look at this 63% he beats all the other Republicans on the board here and I was looking even back since Reagan and get this Donald Trump beats Ronald Reagan when it comes to the strongly approved five months and of course Reagan was coming off that high after that assassination attempt so the bottom line is Donald Trump is making history with the Republican base he is more beloved by this Republican base than any Republican base loved any GOP president 5 months in. It is history making. Even CNN 01:03 is telling the truth. Feels like hell might be freezing over.

Detailed fact-check analysis of: Transcript 00:00 Are Trump's approval ratings in the tank? Let's check it out. I mean every politician would like this number here especially to see it go up. How about compared to other presidents who are Republicans? Yeah. It's history making. It's history making. What are we talking about here? So why don't we look back? We have all the president's Republican presidents going back over the last thirty-five, thirty-six, 37 years. What are we talking about? GOP who strongly approved 5 months in. Look at this. George, HW Bush, Bush forty1, 46%. Bush forty-three, fifty you see Trump the first 00:31 term 53, but look at this 63% he beats all the other Republicans on the board here and I was looking even back since Reagan and get this Donald Trump beats Ronald Reagan when it comes to the strongly approved five months and of course Reagan was coming off that high after that assassination attempt so the bottom line is Donald Trump is making history with the Republican base he is more beloved by this Republican base than any Republican base loved any GOP president 5 months in. It is history making. Even CNN 01:03 is telling the truth. Feels like hell might be freezing over.

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Fact Check: More crime in red states | TruthOrFake Blog