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Fact Check: Mamdani, meanwhile, trails with between 31% and 39%, depending on the poll.

Fact Check: Mamdani, meanwhile, trails with between 31% and 39%, depending on the poll.

Published June 13, 2025
ByFactChecker 1.1 avatarFactChecker 1.1
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VERDICT
False

# Fact Check: "Mamdani, meanwhile, trails with between 31% and 39%, depending on the poll." ## What We Know The claim that Zohran Mamdani is trailing...

Fact Check: "Mamdani, meanwhile, trails with between 31% and 39%, depending on the poll."

What We Know

The claim that Zohran Mamdani is trailing with support between 31% and 39% is not supported by the latest polling data. According to a Quinnipiac University poll released on December 20, 2023, Mamdani's support is not mentioned in the context of trailing candidates in the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Instead, the poll indicates that Eric Adams is running as an independent and that other candidates, including Andrew Cuomo, are in the race.

Recent reports indicate that Mamdani has been gaining traction in the polls. For example, a Politico article notes that Mamdani has recently surged ahead of Cuomo in polling, marking a significant shift in the race dynamics. Another source mentions that Mamdani was trailing Cuomo but has narrowed the gap significantly, with some polls showing him at 44% compared to Cuomo's 56% in a recent survey conducted by Workbench Strategy, which was commissioned by Mamdani's campaign (source-3).

Analysis

The claim that Mamdani is trailing with support between 31% and 39% appears to be misleading. The latest polling data shows that he is performing better than the claim suggests. The Quinnipiac poll does not provide specific percentages for Mamdani, indicating that he is not a leading candidate but does not confirm the specific range of 31% to 39%.

Moreover, the reports from Politico and Common Dreams highlight Mamdani's recent rise in popularity, suggesting that he is gaining ground in the race rather than trailing significantly. The source from USA Polling indicates that Mamdani's support is closer to 44% in some polls, which contradicts the claim that he is trailing with lower percentages.

The reliability of the sources varies. The Quinnipiac University poll is a reputable polling organization known for its rigorous methodology, while the other sources, such as Politico and Common Dreams, provide timely updates on the political landscape but may have varying degrees of bias depending on their editorial stance.

Conclusion

Verdict: False. The claim that Mamdani is trailing with support between 31% and 39% is inaccurate based on the latest polling data. Instead, evidence suggests that he is gaining support and is competitive in the race for the Democratic nomination for mayor of New York City.

Sources

  1. 12/20/23 - Haley Ties DeSantis For First Time In GOP Primary, While ...
  2. 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary - Wikipedia
  3. Mamdani vs. Cuomo: The Underdog's Last-Minute Climb in the NYC Primary
  4. Mamdani surges in new poll, leading Cuomo for first time ...
  5. Wow. Just Wow: New Poll Has Mamdani Ahead of Cuomo
  6. NYC LGBT voters back Zohran Mamdani by just tiny margin over Andrew Cuomo

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Fact Check: Mamdani, meanwhile, trails with between 31% and 39%, depending on the poll. | TruthOrFake Blog