Fact Check: Mamdani leads Cuomo by 8 points in NYC mayoral primary!

Fact Check: "Mamdani leads Cuomo by 8 points in NYC mayoral primary!"

What We Know

The claim that Zohran Mamdani leads Andrew Cuomo by 8 points in the New York City mayoral primary is currently unverified. As of June 2025, various sources indicate that the race is competitive, with polls showing fluctuating support for both candidates. According to a recent report by Newsweek, Mamdani's support surged from 1% to 32% over five months, while Cuomo's numbers have remained steady. This suggests a significant shift in voter sentiment, but does not explicitly confirm an 8-point lead.

Additionally, the New York Times has reported that the contest is tight, indicating that both candidates are making efforts to mobilize voters. However, the exact numbers and margins have not been consistently reported across sources, leaving the claim ambiguous.

Analysis

The evidence surrounding the claim is mixed and requires careful consideration. The New York Times notes that the primary is highly competitive, which aligns with the notion that Mamdani is gaining traction. However, the lack of a definitive poll showing an 8-point lead raises questions about the accuracy of the claim.

The AP News article highlights Mamdani's unique position as a progressive candidate and mentions his potential to disrupt traditional voting patterns, but it does not provide specific polling data that supports the 8-point lead. Furthermore, the Guardian reports on the dynamics of the primary but does not confirm any specific lead for Mamdani.

The sources used to evaluate this claim vary in reliability. While the New York Times and AP News are generally reputable, the absence of direct polling data from these articles makes it difficult to substantiate the claim definitively. The reported surge in support for Mamdani is notable, but without corroborating polling data that clearly indicates an 8-point lead, the claim remains speculative.

Conclusion

Needs Research. The assertion that Mamdani leads Cuomo by 8 points lacks sufficient evidence from reliable polling sources. While there are indications of a competitive race and a notable increase in support for Mamdani, the claim itself cannot be verified at this time. Further polling data and analysis will be necessary to confirm the current standings in the NYC mayoral primary.

Sources

1. Zohran K. Mamdani - Assembly District 36 |Assembly Member ...
2. Zohran Mamdani - Wikipedia
3. NYC Mayoral Primary Live Updates: New Yorkers Head to ...
4. New York City Mayoral Primary Election Results 2025
5. Can Zohran Mamdani beat Andrew Cuomo to become NYC mayor ...
6. 10 Questions With Zohran Mamdani - The New York Times
7. NYC Election Results: Poll Shows Zohran Mamdani Beating ...
8. New Yorkers vote in mayoral primary as poll shows ...