Fact Check: Karoline Leavitt <redacted_social_handle> Every month since President Trump took office, core inflation- the best measure of inflation- has beat or matched expectations. The data proves that President Trump is stabilizing inflation and the Panicans continue to be wrong about tariffs raising prices. Donald J. Trump <redacted_social_handle> Fed should cut Rates by 3 Points. Very Low Inflation. One Trillion Dollars a year would be saved!!! 429 ReTruths 1.57k Likes Jul 15, 2025, 10:08 AM

Fact Check: "Karoline Leavitt Claims Core Inflation Has Beat Expectations Every Month Since Trump Took Office"

What We Know

The claim made by Karoline Leavitt asserts that core inflation has consistently beaten or matched expectations every month since President Trump took office. According to the White House press release, core inflation has tracked at approximately 2.1% since Trump took office, which they argue is a favorable rate compared to previous administrations. They also state that inflation has come in below or at economists’ expectations every month during Trump's presidency.

However, other sources present a more nuanced view. For instance, data from the Economist indicates that inflation rates under Trump varied, with reports showing a 2.7% year-over-year increase in inflation, which includes core inflation metrics. Furthermore, a recent article from AOL indicates that nearly two-thirds of Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of inflation, suggesting a disconnect between government reports and public perception.

Analysis

The claim that core inflation has consistently beaten expectations is partially supported by the White House's assertions. They cite specific months where inflation data met or exceeded forecasts, particularly highlighting a core inflation rate of around 2.1% as indicative of stability. However, the reliability of this claim is contingent on the context and the methodology used to define "expectations."

Critically, the sources from the White House are official government communications, which may carry inherent bias, as they aim to portray the administration in a positive light. While they present data that supports their claims, the lack of independent verification and the potential for selective reporting raises questions about the objectivity of these statements.

In contrast, independent analyses and public opinion surveys, such as those from the Economist and AOL, provide a broader perspective that suggests mixed results regarding public sentiment and economic reality. These sources indicate that while some months may have shown favorable inflation data, the overall perception and experience of inflation among the populace may not align with the government’s narrative.

Conclusion

The claim that core inflation has consistently beaten expectations since President Trump took office is Partially True. While there are instances where core inflation data aligns with the administration's claims, the broader context of economic conditions and public sentiment indicates that the situation is more complex. The reliance on government sources, which may be biased, alongside independent analyses that show mixed public perceptions, suggests that while some data may support the claim, it does not fully encapsulate the economic reality experienced by many Americans.

Sources

1. Inflation Remains Right on Target Under President Trump
2. Under President Trump, America is Defeating Inflation
3. The US economy under Donald Trump
4. Nearly two-thirds disapprove of Trump's handling of inflation
5. Core Inflation Comes in Lower than Forecasts for Fifth Straight Month
6. United States Inflation Rate