Fact Check: Iran would not be this close to possessing a nuclear weapon if Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu had not forced America out of the nuclear agreement with Iran.

Fact Check: "Iran would not be this close to possessing a nuclear weapon if Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu had not forced America out of the nuclear agreement with Iran."

What We Know

The claim centers around the United States' withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, which occurred on May 8, 2018. President Donald Trump announced the U.S. exit from the JCPOA, stating that the agreement failed to protect American national security interests and allowed Iran to continue its nuclear research and development, potentially delaying but not preventing its path to nuclear weapons (source-1). Following the withdrawal, the U.S. re-imposed sanctions on Iran, targeting critical sectors of its economy, which Trump argued would pressure the Iranian regime to change its behavior (source-1).

Since the U.S. withdrawal, Iran has gradually reduced its compliance with the JCPOA, leading to concerns that it is closer to developing nuclear weapons. Reports indicate that Iran has enriched uranium to levels that exceed the limits set by the JCPOA (source-3). This escalation has been framed by some analysts as a direct consequence of the U.S. exit from the agreement and the subsequent sanctions that have isolated Iran economically and politically.

Analysis

The assertion that Iran would not be close to possessing a nuclear weapon if the U.S. had remained in the JCPOA is supported by the timeline of events following the withdrawal. Experts argue that the JCPOA effectively limited Iran's nuclear capabilities and provided a framework for inspections and oversight (source-3). The deal was designed to delay Iran's potential pathway to a nuclear weapon, and its dismantling has arguably allowed Iran to advance its nuclear program more rapidly.

However, the claim also simplifies a complex geopolitical situation. Iran's nuclear ambitions predate the JCPOA and have been a point of contention for decades. Critics of the JCPOA, including Trump and Netanyahu, argued that the agreement was flawed and did not adequately address Iran's missile program or its regional activities (source-1). Furthermore, the assertion does not consider other factors that may influence Iran's nuclear ambitions, including regional dynamics and Iran's own strategic calculations.

The sources used to support this claim vary in reliability. The official statement from the Trump administration (source-1) is a primary source but reflects the administration's perspective and potential bias against the JCPOA. Academic analyses and reports from international relations scholars provide a broader context but may also carry their own biases based on political affiliations or interpretations of data (source-3).

Conclusion

The claim that "Iran would not be this close to possessing a nuclear weapon if Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu had not forced America out of the nuclear agreement with Iran" is Partially True. While the U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA has undoubtedly contributed to Iran's accelerated nuclear activities, the situation is multifaceted, involving historical, political, and strategic elements that predate the agreement. The claim simplifies these complexities but captures the essence of the consequences following the U.S. exit from the deal.

Sources

1. President Donald J. Trump is Ending United States Participation in an Unacceptable Iran Deal
2. Trump faces new test after Israeli strikes on Iran
3. United States withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
4. Trump Acknowledges Israel Could Attack Iran Soon
5. Iran: une cyberattaque de grande ampleur paralyse les banques
6. Israel strikes Iran despite Trump's nuclear deal hopes
7. Multiples explosions en Iran il y a une heure - JForum
8. How Israel's campaign to wipe out Iran's nuclear program unfolded