Fact Check: Hispanic Americans are increasing their power in the Republican Party
What We Know
The claim that Hispanic Americans are increasing their power in the Republican Party is supported by various data points from recent elections. In the 2024 presidential election, support for former President Trump among Latino men reportedly increased significantly. According to a deep dive into the 2024 Latino male electorate, 43% of Latino men supported Trump, which is a notable increase from the 38% who supported Republican congressional candidates in the 2022 elections. This suggests a 5% increase in GOP support over the past two years. Furthermore, Trump’s support was particularly strong among younger Latino men, with 48% of those under 40 voting for him, compared to 32% of young Latina women in the same age group.
The economic issues were central to this shift, with Latino men prioritizing concerns such as the cost of living, jobs, and healthcare. A May 2025 poll indicated that while many Latino men believed Democrats would better address their priorities, they were still 8% more likely than Latinas to think Republicans could effectively tackle these issues. This suggests a complex relationship where economic concerns are driving some Latino voters towards the Republican Party, even as many still favor Democratic policies overall.
Analysis
The evidence suggests that while there is an observable increase in support for the Republican Party among Hispanic Americans, particularly Latino men, this does not necessarily equate to a consolidated power shift within the party. The Brookings Institution highlights that although Trump made inroads with Latino voters, he did not secure a majority of this demographic. The National Exit Poll's estimate of 55% support for Trump among Latino men has been met with skepticism due to its historical inaccuracies in capturing the nuances of Latino voting behavior.
Additionally, the Pew Research Center notes that while Latino voters have historically leaned Democratic, the margins of support have fluctuated, indicating that changes in voting patterns may not signify a permanent shift in allegiance. Furthermore, many Latino men oppose key aspects of Trump's immigration policies, which complicates the narrative of a unified Hispanic support base for the Republican Party.
The sources used in this analysis vary in reliability. The deep dive from Brookings is a well-regarded academic source, while the National Exit Poll has faced criticism for its methodology. The May 2025 poll, conducted by Equis, provides valuable insights but should be interpreted with caution due to its relatively small sample size of 2,545 registered Hispanic voters.
Conclusion
The claim that Hispanic Americans are increasing their power in the Republican Party is Partially True. While there is a notable increase in support for the Republican Party among Latino men, particularly younger voters, this does not reflect a wholesale shift in power or allegiance. Many Latino voters still prioritize Democratic policies, especially regarding immigration, and the overall majority of Latino men did not vote for Trump in 2024. The dynamics within this demographic are complex and suggest that while there are trends toward increased Republican support, they do not indicate a definitive or stable power shift.
