Fact Check: "High taxes in New York are often cited as a reason for relocation."
What We Know
Recent data indicates that high taxes are a significant factor driving residents to consider leaving New York. A Zogby poll conducted in March 2022 revealed that 39% of respondents were contemplating relocation, with 36.7% citing high taxes as their primary reason. This sentiment spans across various demographics, including political affiliation, income levels, and age groups. Notably, only 7.7% attributed their desire to leave to weather conditions, countering the narrative that climate is a primary motivator for migration.
Additionally, New York has experienced substantial net outmigration, losing over 1.5 million residents in the past decade, including more than 350,000 during the pandemic year leading up to July 2021. This trend aligns with a broader national pattern where individuals are moving from high-tax states to those with lower or no taxes (source-1).
Analysis
The claim that high taxes are a key reason for relocation from New York is supported by multiple sources. The Zogby poll is a direct measure of public sentiment, showing that a plurality of respondents view taxes as the primary reason for their potential move. The poll's methodology, which includes a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points, suggests a reliable snapshot of public opinion at that time (source-2).
However, some analyses, such as those from the Fiscal Policy Institute, argue that while taxes are a factor, the migration of high earners during the COVID-19 pandemic was more influenced by the ability to work remotely rather than tax burdens alone. This perspective highlights the complexity of the issue, suggesting that while taxes are a significant concern, they may not be the sole reason for relocation.
Despite this, the overwhelming majority of responses in the Zogby poll indicate a clear trend: high taxes are a primary motivator for many residents considering leaving New York. The consistency of this finding across various demographic groups adds to its credibility. Furthermore, the broader context of New York's tax burden being among the highest in the nation reinforces the validity of the claim (source-2).
Conclusion
Verdict: True
The claim that high taxes in New York are often cited as a reason for relocation is substantiated by recent polling data and demographic trends. The Zogby poll clearly indicates that a significant portion of New Yorkers are considering leaving the state primarily due to high taxes, with minimal support for alternative explanations such as weather. While other factors may contribute to migration patterns, the evidence strongly supports the assertion that high taxes are a major driver for many residents.
Sources
- New Poll: Taxes are Top Reason Residents Looking to Leave New York - Empire Center
- PDF Moving In or Moving Out? New York State Personal Income Taxpayer Migration - New York State Office of the Comptroller
- Who is Leaving New York State? Part I: Income Trends - Fiscal Policy Institute
- Top Reasons Why Many Are Leaving New York State At Alarming Rates - Hudson Valley Post
