Fact Check: "First AUKUS submarine for Australia won't be ready until early 2040s."
What We Know
The claim that the first AUKUS submarine for Australia will not be ready until the early 2040s is supported by several credible sources. According to the Australian Government's Defence Department, Australia plans to begin construction of its first SSN-AUKUS submarine in Adelaide by the end of this decade, with delivery expected in the early 2040s. This timeline aligns with information from the United States Studies Centre, which indicates that the earliest possible delivery of the submarines would be around 2055, although the first Australian-built submarine is expected in the early 2040s. Additionally, a media release from the Defence Ministers confirms that the first SSN-AUKUS built in Australia will be delivered in the early 2040s.
Analysis
The sources supporting the claim are credible and come from official government and defense-related organizations. The Australian Government's Defence Department is a primary source, providing direct information about the construction and delivery timeline of the submarines. The United States Studies Centre, while an independent think tank, is known for its research on U.S.-Australia relations and defense matters, adding a layer of reliability to its projections.
However, it is important to note that while the early 2040s is the expected timeframe for the first submarine, there are complexities involved in defense procurement that could potentially alter this timeline. The Financial Review also highlights that the overall cost and timeline for the AUKUS submarines are subject to change, which suggests that while the early 2040s is the current expectation, it is not set in stone.
Conclusion
Needs Research. While the claim that the first AUKUS submarine for Australia will not be ready until the early 2040s is supported by credible sources, the complexities of defense procurement and potential changes in timelines warrant further investigation. The current projections are based on available information, but as with many large-scale defense projects, unforeseen challenges could impact these timelines.
Sources
- Skilled Worker visa: Knowledge of English - GOV.UK
- PDF SSN-AUKUS - Defence
- By the numbers | AUKUS timeline | United States Studies Centre
- AUKUS nuclear-powered submarine pathway | Defence Ministers
- Nuclear-powered submarines - Royal Australian Navy
- AUKUS - Australian Submarine Agency
- Skilled Worker English Language Guide 2025 - DavidsonMorris
- Timeline: How the AUKUS deal came together - Financial Review