Fact Check: "Fifty-four percent of Americans ages 18 to 29 voted for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in the 2024 presidential election."
What We Know
The claim states that 54% of young Americans (ages 18 to 29) voted for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in the 2024 presidential election. According to the Fall 2024 Yale Youth Poll, Kamala Harris received 56% of the vote from young voters, while Donald Trump garnered 35%. This indicates that a significant majority of young voters supported Harris, but the specific figure of 54% is not directly corroborated by this source.
Additionally, the Harvard Youth Poll indicates that Harris led Trump by a substantial margin among young voters, but does not specify the exact percentage of votes for Harris and Walz combined. The official election results from the FEC confirm that Harris was indeed a candidate in the election, but do not provide a breakdown by age group.
Analysis
The claim of 54% appears to be an approximation rather than an exact figure. The Yale Youth Poll shows that Harris led with 56% among voters aged 18-29, which is slightly higher than the claim. However, the claim does not account for the fact that the percentage could include variations in voter turnout or preferences that were not captured in the polling data.
The Harvard Youth Poll further supports the notion that young voters favored Harris significantly, but it does not provide a precise percentage that matches the claim. The discrepancy suggests that while the claim is close to the actual polling data, it may not reflect the precise outcome of the election.
The reliability of the sources used in this analysis is strong. Both the Harvard and Yale polls are conducted by reputable institutions with a history of accurately gauging youth sentiment. The FEC data is also a credible source for official election results.
Conclusion
The claim that "54% of Americans ages 18 to 29 voted for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in the 2024 presidential election" is Partially True. While the Yale Youth Poll indicates that 56% of young voters supported Harris, the claim does not specify whether it includes Walz or is based on a precise measurement. Therefore, while the claim is close to the actual polling data, it does not fully align with the most reliable statistics available.
Sources
- Harvard Youth Poll
- Fall 2024 | Yale Youth Poll
- PDF Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results - FEC.gov
- 48th Edition - Fall 2024 | The Institute of Politics at Harvard University
- US presidential election results 2024: Harris vs. Trump | Live maps ...
- An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2024 Election Results: Trump vs ...
- 2024 United States presidential election - Wikipedia
- Did young voters make the difference? Here's who they backed in 2024