Fact Check: Big Ugly Bill is wildly unpopular and lacks sufficient support to pass.

Fact Check: "Big Ugly Bill is wildly unpopular and lacks sufficient support to pass."

What We Know

The claim that the "Big Ugly Bill," officially known as the "One Big Beautiful Bill," is "wildly unpopular" and lacks sufficient support to pass is supported by various polling data and reports from credible news sources. According to a CNN analysis, independents opposed the bill by a margin of approximately 3-to-1, with some polls indicating that up to 70% of independents disapprove of it. Furthermore, a Fox News poll reported that only 38% of registered voters support the bill, highlighting significant public discontent.

Despite the unpopularity, the bill has garnered support from several business organizations and Republican lawmakers, who argue that it is essential for economic growth and job creation. The White House emphasizes endorsements from various industry groups, claiming that the bill will provide substantial tax cuts and economic benefits. However, the internal divisions among Republicans regarding the bill's implications and the projected addition of $2.4 trillion to the national debt have raised concerns about its viability (New York Times).

Analysis

The evidence suggests that while the "One Big Beautiful Bill" has some backing from specific business sectors and Republican representatives, its overall popularity is indeed low among the general public. The polling data indicates a clear trend of disapproval, particularly among independents, which is critical as they often play a decisive role in elections. The NBC News report further supports this by noting that while certain elements of the bill are popular, the overall package is facing significant backlash.

The sources used in this analysis are generally reliable, with CNN and NBC News being established news organizations known for their political coverage. The New York Times is also a reputable source, providing in-depth analysis of the political landscape surrounding the bill. However, the White House's website, while informative, may present a biased perspective in favor of the bill, as it is a government source promoting its own legislative agenda.

The mixed support from within the Republican Party, as highlighted by Senate Majority Leader John Thune's comments on the bill's polling struggles (Axios), indicates that there are significant factions within the party that are not fully aligned with the bill's passage. This internal conflict could hinder its chances of success, despite the endorsements from various business groups.

Conclusion

The claim that the "Big Ugly Bill" is "wildly unpopular and lacks sufficient support to pass" is Partially True. While there is substantial evidence of public disapproval and internal Republican dissent, the bill does have notable support from certain business sectors and some lawmakers. The combination of low public approval and significant political obstacles suggests that while the bill may not be entirely without support, its path to passage is fraught with challenges.

Fact Check: Big Ugly Bill is wildly unpopular and lacks sufficient support to pass.