Fact Check: Approximately 80% of Canada's exports go to the U.S.

Fact Check: "Approximately 80% of Canada's exports go to the U.S."

What We Know

The claim that approximately 80% of Canada's exports go to the United States is supported by various trade statistics. According to the United States Trade Representative, Canada exported over three-quarters of its goods to the U.S. in 2024, which translates to about 75% of total exports. This figure aligns with data from Statistics Canada, which indicates that the U.S. remains Canada's largest trading partner, consistently receiving a significant portion of Canadian exports.

In 2024, U.S. goods trade with Canada was estimated at $762.1 billion, with U.S. exports to Canada totaling $349.4 billion and imports from Canada at $412.7 billion (U.S. Trade Representative). Furthermore, data from Trading Economics indicates that Canada exported approximately $434.26 billion worth of goods to the U.S. during the same year.

Analysis

While the claim that "approximately 80% of Canada's exports go to the U.S." is close to the actual figure, it is slightly exaggerated. The most reliable sources indicate that the percentage is closer to 75%. The data from the U.S. Trade Representative and Statistics Canada consistently show that Canada exports a significant majority of its goods to the U.S., but not quite reaching the 80% mark.

The reliability of these sources is high, as they are official government publications that provide comprehensive trade statistics. However, the claim's slight inaccuracy could stem from rounding or generalization in public discourse about trade figures.

Additionally, the context of trade dynamics is essential. The U.S. has historically been a dominant partner for Canada due to geographical proximity and integrated supply chains, particularly in sectors like automotive and energy (U.S. Trade Representative). This long-standing relationship contributes to the perception that a larger percentage of exports is directed towards the U.S.

Conclusion

Verdict: Partially True
The claim that approximately 80% of Canada's exports go to the U.S. is partially true. While it is accurate that a significant majority of Canadian exports are directed to the U.S., the actual figure is closer to 75%. This discrepancy highlights the importance of precise data in discussions about international trade.

Sources

1. Trade in Goods with Canada Available years: 2025 | 2024
2. Canada | United States Trade Representative
3. Canada Exports to United States - 2025 Data 2026 Forecast
4. What Does Canada Export to the US: US-Canada Export Trade
5. Focus on Canada and the United States: Trade
6. Canadian international merchandise trade, March 2025 - Statistics Canada
7. Canada Total Exports to USA, 1988 – 2025 | CEIC Data
8. Canada / United States - The Observatory of Economic