Fact Check: Any trade deal with India may take at least another year to finalize.

Published June 30, 2025
±
VERDICT
Partially True

# Fact Check: "Any trade deal with India may take at least another year to finalize." ## What We Know The claim that any trade deal with India may ta...

Fact Check: "Any trade deal with India may take at least another year to finalize."

What We Know

The claim that any trade deal with India may take at least another year to finalize is rooted in the current complexities and ongoing negotiations between India and the United States. As of June 2025, a team of Indian negotiators was in the U.S. attempting to finalize a "mini trade deal" before a looming deadline of July 8, 2025 (The Hindu). This negotiation is characterized by significant hurdles, particularly concerning the import of genetically modified (GM) crops and cow milk into India, as well as the removal of reciprocal tariffs imposed by the U.S. (The Hindu).

Additionally, while there is an urgency to finalize this deal, experts suggest that if an agreement is not reached by the July deadline, it could lead to renewed tariff pressures on Indian exports to the U.S. (Chini Mandi). This context indicates that while negotiations are actively taking place, the complexities involved suggest that a comprehensive trade agreement may take longer than anticipated.

Analysis

The assertion that a trade deal with India may take at least another year to finalize can be evaluated through the lens of the current negotiations and historical context. The U.S. and India have been in discussions regarding trade for several years, with various attempts to finalize agreements often stalling due to contentious issues (Congress.gov). The ongoing negotiations are described as a "mini trade deal," which implies that a more comprehensive agreement could still be far off.

The urgency expressed in the current negotiations, with a deadline set for July 8, 2025, indicates that while there is a push to reach a preliminary agreement, the underlying issues remain complex and sensitive for both parties (The Hindu). The obstacles related to agricultural imports and tariffs suggest that even if a mini deal is reached, broader trade relations will require further negotiation and time to resolve.

Furthermore, the broader context of global trade dynamics, as outlined by the World Economic Forum, indicates that trade agreements are often subject to geopolitical tensions and internal economic pressures, which can prolong negotiations (World Economic Forum). Given these factors, the claim that finalizing any trade deal with India may take at least another year appears to be a reasonable assessment of the situation.

Conclusion

Verdict: Partially True
The claim that any trade deal with India may take at least another year to finalize is partially true. While there is an active effort to negotiate a mini trade deal before the July 8 deadline, significant obstacles remain that could delay a comprehensive agreement. The complexities of trade negotiations, particularly in light of sensitive agricultural issues and tariff disputes, suggest that while progress may be made, a fully finalized trade deal could indeed extend beyond the immediate timeline.

Sources

  1. U.S.-India Trade Relations
  2. India, US finalise terms of reference for first phase of trade ...
  3. This is the current state of global trade | World Economic Forum
  4. India trying for U.S. trade deal by July 8 deadline
  5. The UK and India just signed a 'historic' free trade deal. Here's ...
  6. Trade - Path of Exile
  7. India and US race against time to finalize trade deal before ...
  8. Why trade tensions are a ‘storm cloud’ over financial markets

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Fact Check: MASSIVE bolt of plasma burst out of the sky striking I-40 near Alma, Arkansas last night! They're getting larger and more frequent as the Earth continues charging up. The further the magnetic North Pole continues racing toward Siberia the weaker Earth's protective magnetic shield becomes. More cosmic radiation from space and more UV, UVB, and UVC radiation from the Sun are penetrating deeper into our atmosphere and into the Earth. Earth's atmosphere is becoming highly charged and electrified causing massive plasma bursts like this to strike, causing more lightning strikes period. Lightning has even been documented striking on days without a storm cloud in sight. All the signatures of the binary twin solar system and the Destroyer's arrival just amplified dramatically this year. The alarmingly endless rainfall and flooding across the world is something I have never witnessed before in my ten years of reporting Earth's climate disasters. Folks who know weather for 60 - 70 years have never witnessed the sudden incredible down bursts of several inches of rain in just minutes that have been triggering nonstop catastrophic flash flooding across America and the rest of the world. It's just been nonstop this year. I've never seen so many very strong and powerful earthquakes strike since March when the 7.0+, 6.0+, 5.0+ magnitude earthquakes accelerated in frequency so fast. With aftershocks in numbers we've never seen before, in the hundreds. I've never seen so many fires breaking out across the world that just keep coming. Canada, the United States, the entire Mediterranean region, Europe, etc. The core of the Earth is expanding from the increase in radiation causing the rock to melt underneath our feet. Magma plumes are growing, lava tubes and corridors are expanding globally and reaching the Earth's surface, on land and under water. We've got a rash of volcanic activity on land and on the ocean floor heating up the water, melting the poles, causing marine life die offs, and fueling the atmosphere with high humidity and water vapor for more frequent and intense storming. All the symptoms of the arrival of the binary twin solar system that was expected are being checked off. This will just continue to worsen in the coming days. Mid-August is almost here and watching for the extreme weather to intensify. We're heading into severe birth pangs now. Listening for updates and watching it unfold live. Remarkable days.

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Fact Check: MASSIVE bolt of plasma burst out of the sky striking I-40 near Alma, Arkansas last night! They're getting larger and more frequent as the Earth continues charging up. 
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I've never seen so many very strong and powerful earthquakes strike since March when the 7.0+, 6.0+, 5.0+ magnitude earthquakes accelerated in frequency so fast. With aftershocks in numbers we've never seen before, in the hundreds. 
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