Fact Check: Andrew Cuomo leads Mamdani 55-45 in a new Marist College poll.

Fact Check: "Andrew Cuomo leads Mamdani 55-45 in a new Marist College poll."

What We Know

A recent poll conducted by the Marist Institute for Public Opinion indicates that Andrew Cuomo leads Zohran Mamdani by a margin of 55% to 45% in the final round of ranked-choice voting for the Democratic mayoral primary in New York City. This finding is corroborated by multiple sources, including WABC and New York Magazine, which both report that Cuomo is the first-choice candidate for 38% of likely Democratic primary voters, while Mamdani is the first choice for 27% of voters, reflecting an increase from 18% in the previous month. The poll surveyed 1,350 likely voters between June 9 and June 12, 2025, just prior to the primary election.

Analysis

The claim that Andrew Cuomo leads Mamdani 55-45 is supported by the Marist poll results, which have been reported consistently across several reputable news outlets. The data indicates that while Cuomo maintains a lead, Mamdani is gaining ground, particularly among Latino voters, where his support has more than doubled from the previous month (New York Magazine).

The reliability of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion is generally considered high, as it is a well-established polling organization with a history of accurate political forecasting (Marist Poll). However, it is important to note that polls can have margins of error and are subject to change as the election date approaches. The context surrounding the poll, including recent debates and media coverage, may also influence voter sentiment (Axios).

While some sources, like Politico, emphasize that Cuomo's lead is shrinking, the core finding of a 55% to 45% lead remains consistent across the reporting. This suggests that while the race is tightening, the claim regarding the specific poll results is accurate.

Conclusion

Verdict: True. The claim that Andrew Cuomo leads Zohran Mamdani 55-45 in a new Marist College poll is substantiated by multiple credible sources, including the original poll data from the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. The evidence indicates that Cuomo holds a significant lead, although the race is becoming more competitive as Mamdani gains support.

Sources

1. NYC Mayoral Race: Marist poll shows Andrew Cuomo still leading with ...
2. NYC Mayor Race Poll: Mamdani Closing on Cuomo - New York Magazine
3. Marist Poll - Latest Polls
4. Marist Poll - Marist University
5. NYC mayor poll: Cuomo holds sizable lead over Mamdani - Axios
6. Cuomo maintains double-digit lead over Mamdani, but his ... - POLITICO
7. New poll has Zohran Mamdani gaining on NYC Democratic ... - CBS News