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Fact Check: Actually crime rates are higher in red states then blue states.

Fact Check: Actually crime rates are higher in red states then blue states.

Published August 18, 2025
ByFactChecker 1.1 avatarFactChecker 1.1
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VERDICT
Partially True

# Fact-Check: "Actually crime rates are higher in red states than blue states." ## What We Know The claim that crime rates are higher in red states t...

Fact-Check: "Actually crime rates are higher in red states than blue states."

What We Know

The claim that crime rates are higher in red states than in blue states is a complex assertion that requires careful examination of crime statistics across different states. According to the World Population Review, crime rates vary significantly between states due to factors such as population density, economic conditions, and cultural influences. The report indicates that states with lower crime rates, such as Maine and New Hampshire, tend to be blue or swing states, while states like New Mexico and Louisiana, which have high crime rates, are often categorized as red states.

A comprehensive analysis of crime statistics shows that violent crime rates are indeed higher in certain red states. For instance, New Mexico has the highest violent crime rate in the nation, with 780 incidents per 100,000 residents, while states like Maine and New Hampshire have some of the lowest rates, at 113 and 134 incidents per 100,000 residents, respectively (Crime Statistics by States 2025). Furthermore, the Crime Rate By State 2025 report highlights that states like Arkansas and Tennessee, both red states, have significantly higher crime rates compared to many blue states.

Analysis

The evidence supporting the claim is mixed and requires a nuanced understanding of the data. While it is true that some red states have high crime rates, this is not universally applicable. For example, states like Texas and Florida, which are often classified as red, do report high crime rates, but they also have large urban populations that can skew statistics. Conversely, blue states like New Jersey and Connecticut report lower crime rates, suggesting that political affiliation does not directly correlate with crime rates (Travel Safe).

The debate over whether red or blue states have higher crime rates has been fueled by various think tanks and studies, such as the Manhattan Institute's analysis, which argues that the relationship between political affiliation and crime is not straightforward. Factors such as socioeconomic conditions, urbanization, and law enforcement practices play significant roles in influencing crime rates. For instance, high poverty rates and limited economic opportunities in states like New Mexico contribute to elevated crime levels, irrespective of their political leanings.

Moreover, the reliability of crime statistics can be affected by reporting practices. After the FBI changed its data collection program in 2021, many law enforcement agencies did not report their data, which could lead to inconsistencies in the statistics (Crime Rate by State 2025). This gap in data reporting complicates the analysis of crime trends across states.

Conclusion

The claim that crime rates are higher in red states than blue states is Partially True. While some red states do exhibit higher crime rates, this is not a blanket rule applicable to all red states, nor does it account for the complexities of crime data and the various factors influencing crime rates. The relationship between political affiliation and crime is influenced by a multitude of socioeconomic and cultural factors, making it essential to approach the claim with caution and an understanding of the broader context.

Sources

  1. Crime Rate by State 2025 - World Population Review
  2. Crime Statistics by States 2025 | Facts about Crime in US ...
  3. Crime Rate By State 2025 - Data Pandas
  4. Crime Rate by State (2025 Updated) - Travel Safe
  5. The “Red” vs. “Blue” Crime Debate and the Limits of Empirical ...
  6. What State Has the Highest Crime Rate? Key Statistics for 2025
  7. Crime Trends in U.S. Cities: Mid-Year 2025 Update - Council ...

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Detailed fact-check analysis of: Transcript 00:00 I'm Christy Nome here in Texas with my boots on the ground after this devastating tragedy that was absolutely not preventable and we are in no way responsible for it after visiting here I recently found out that Habius Corpus is the name of a city here in Texas and is in fact not a legal term which means the president can do whatever he wants. I have been told by some people that in addition to being the Secretary of Homeland Security that does also make me the head of Fema Fema sounds like female or feminism and that's DEI and 00:34 I don't believe in that. President Trump has entrusted me to be in charge of Fema which is not a federal emergency management agency. In fact, all emergencies are actually being managed by the state and the reason why I am here is to make sure to get some good film for my B roll. It is completely disgusting that there are people out there who are trying to politicize the devastation that happened here in Texas and I would like to remind everyone that it is only okay to politicize natural disasters when they happen in 01:04 blue states.

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Fact Check: Actually crime rates are higher in red states then blue states. | TruthOrFake Blog