Fact Check: "66% of Americans say Trump has definitely or probably committed crimes."
What We Know
The claim that "66% of Americans say Trump has definitely or probably committed crimes" does not accurately reflect the current polling data. According to a recent New York Times/Siena College poll, while there was a notable percentage of Americans who believed that former President Donald Trump committed serious federal crimes, this figure has actually decreased over time. Specifically, the percentage of Americans who believe Trump acted criminally has declined since December 2023, with only 21% of Republicans stating that Trump committed serious federal crimes, and 85% of Democrats agreeing with that sentiment, down from 92% in December.
Additionally, a YouGov poll conducted shortly before this claim was made indicates that while a significant number of Americans do believe Trump has committed crimes, the percentage is not as high as 66%. The data suggests a more nuanced view among the electorate, with many voters across the political spectrum reassessing their opinions on Trump's legal issues.
Analysis
The claim in question appears to be an oversimplification of the polling data available. The New York Times/Siena College poll indicates a decline in the number of voters who believe Trump has committed crimes, particularly among independents and Democrats. This suggests that the political climate and public perception are shifting, and the assertion that 66% of Americans hold a definitive belief in Trump's criminality is misleading.
Moreover, the YouGov poll provides a more recent snapshot of public opinion, showing that while a substantial number of Americans still think Trump has committed crimes, the exact percentage is not clearly defined as 66%. This discrepancy raises questions about the reliability of the claim, as it does not align with the most current and comprehensive polling data.
In evaluating the reliability of the sources, the New York Times and YouGov are reputable organizations known for their polling and political analysis. However, the claim's origin appears to lack a direct citation from a credible poll that supports the 66% figure, indicating that it may be a misinterpretation or exaggeration of existing data.
Conclusion
Verdict: False
The claim that "66% of Americans say Trump has definitely or probably committed crimes" is misleading and not supported by the latest polling data. While there is a significant portion of the population that believes Trump has committed crimes, the actual percentages are lower and have been declining, particularly among key demographic groups. The assertion lacks a solid foundation in current polling evidence and misrepresents the nuanced views of the electorate.